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Daniil Medvedev vs. Jesper De Jong prediction, odds, picks for 2026 Australian Open

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Written by Mac Douglass

Get Medvedev vs De Jong predictions for 2026 Australian Open.

Daniil Medvedev vs Jesper De Jong Tennis Prediction.
Our Daniil Medvedev and Jesper De Jong tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Daniil Medvedev and Jesper De Jong are scheduled to meet in the first round of the 2026 Australian Open on Sunday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Daniil Medvedev as the most likely winner of the Medvedev vs. De Jong match.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Medvedev vs. De Jong prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Medvedev-De Jong men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Medvedev a 94% chance of defeating De Jong in the 2026 Australian Open.

Additionally, Medvedev has an 87% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Medvedev (-8.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 30.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

 

Daniil Medvedev vs. Jesper De Jong odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Medvedev De Jong
Moneyline -1887 +1200
First Set -625 +400
Game Spread +8.5 (-118) -8.5 (-112)
Total Games o30.5 (-110) u30.5 (-122)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Medvedev vs. De Jong picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Medvedev -1887
First Set De Jong -122

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 30.5 total games.

Medvedev vs. De Jong updates and essential details

The 2026 Australian Open match between Daniil Medvedev and Jesper De Jong is scheduled to commence on Sunday at 7:30 PM ET.

  • Who: Daniil Medvedev vs. Jesper De Jong
  • Date: Sunday, January 18, 2026
  • Approx. Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
  • Tournament: 2026 Australian Open, Men's Singles
  • Round: First round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Daniil Medvedev, with a 94% win probability, will likely beat Jesper De Jong at the 2026 Australian Open.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Medvedev vs. De Jong insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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