Daniil Medvedev vs. Jesper De Jong prediction, odds, picks for 2026 Australian Open

Daniil Medvedev and Jesper De Jong will meet in the first round of the 2026 Australian Open on Sunday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Daniil Medvedev as the most likely winner of the Medvedev vs. De Jong match.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Medvedev vs. De Jong prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Medvedev-De Jong men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Medvedev a 93% chance of winning against De Jong in the 2026 Australian Open.

Additionally, Medvedev has an 86% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the -8.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the under 30.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Daniil Medvedev vs. Jesper De Jong odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Medvedev vs. De Jong picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: