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Stars vs. Sharks prediction: Dallas favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [12/18/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Dallas Stars vs San Jose Sharks predictions for NHL Thursday.
The San Jose Sharks will face the Dallas Stars in NHL action at SAP Center at San Jose on Thursday, beginning at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Stars as the most likely winner of the Stars vs. Sharks game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Stars vs. Sharks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NHL game between the Stars and Sharks 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Stars a 63% chance of defeating the Sharks.
According to our model, the Sharks (+1.5) have a 59% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Stars vs. Sharks odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Stars | Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+130) | +1.5 (-148) |
| Moneyline | -198 | +168 |
| Total | o6 (-105) | u6 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stars vs. Sharks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Sharks +1.5 | -148 |
| Moneyline | Sharks | +168 |
| Total | Over 6 | -105 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sharks to win.
Stars vs. Sharks player props
Who will score a goal in Stars vs. Sharks?
According to our model, Macklin Celebrini is most likely to score an anytime goal in Stars vs. Sharks.
Our projections give Celebrini a 41.8% chance of scoring a goal at SAP Center at San Jose, while the star is an 8.7% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Dallas Stars
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jason Robertson | 41.3% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 39.2% |
| Wyatt Johnston | 36.5% |
| Roope Hintz | 29.9% |
| Matt Duchene | 24.1% |
San Jose Sharks
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Macklin Celebrini | 41.8% |
| Tyler Toffoli | 29.1% |
| William Eklund | 25.2% |
| Adam Gaudette | 21.9% |
| John Klingberg | 19.1% |
First goal scorer predictions
Dallas Stars
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jason Robertson | 9.1% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 7.8% |
| Wyatt Johnston | 7.3% |
| Roope Hintz | 5.8% |
| Matt Duchene | 4.2% |
San Jose Sharks
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Macklin Celebrini | 8.7% |
| Tyler Toffoli | 6.0% |
| William Eklund | 4.6% |
| Adam Gaudette | 4.0% |
| John Klingberg | 3.1% |
Stars vs. Sharks game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Sharks and Stars at SAP Center at San Jose is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Stars vs. San Jose Sharks
- Date: Thursday, December 18, 2025
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: SAP Center at San Jose
Conclusion
We predict the Stars, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Sharks on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Stars vs. Sharks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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