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Stars vs. Sharks prediction: Dallas favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [1/10/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Dallas Stars vs San Jose Sharks predictions for NHL Saturday.
The San Jose Sharks will square off with the Dallas Stars in NHL action at SAP Center at San Jose on Saturday, beginning at 4:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Stars as the most likely winner of the Stars vs. Sharks game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Stars vs. Sharks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NHL game between the Stars and Sharks 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Stars a 59% chance of defeating the Sharks.
According to our model, the Sharks (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Stars vs. Sharks odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Stars | Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+148) | +1.5 (-170) |
| Moneyline | -160 | +136 |
| Total | o6.5 (-115) | u6.5 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stars vs. Sharks picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Sharks +1.5 | -170 |
| Moneyline | Stars | -160 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -102 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
Stars vs. Sharks player props
Who will score a goal in Stars vs. Sharks?
According to our model, Jason Robertson is most likely to score an anytime goal in Stars vs. Sharks.
Our projections give Robertson a 44.7% chance of scoring a goal at SAP Center at San Jose, while the star is a 9.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Dallas Stars
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jason Robertson | 44.7% |
| Wyatt Johnston | 39.1% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 36.4% |
| Roope Hintz | 30.2% |
| Matt Duchene | 25.4% |
San Jose Sharks
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Pavol Regenda | 39.0% |
| Macklin Celebrini | 37.2% |
| Tyler Toffoli | 26.5% |
| William Eklund | 23.0% |
| Collin Graf | 19.9% |
First goal scorer predictions
Dallas Stars
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jason Robertson | 9.8% |
| Wyatt Johnston | 8.1% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 7.2% |
| Roope Hintz | 5.6% |
| Matt Duchene | 4.4% |
San Jose Sharks
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Pavol Regenda | 8.5% |
| Macklin Celebrini | 7.7% |
| Tyler Toffoli | 4.9% |
| William Eklund | 4.0% |
| Collin Graf | 3.5% |
Stars vs. Sharks game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between the Sharks and Stars at SAP Center at San Jose is scheduled to commence at 4:00 PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Stars vs. San Jose Sharks
- Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026
- Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Venue: SAP Center at San Jose
Conclusion
We predict the Stars, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Sharks on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Stars vs. Sharks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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