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Stars vs. Wild prediction: Why Dallas is favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [12/11/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild predictions for NHL Thursday.
The Minnesota Wild will face the Dallas Stars in NHL action at Grand Casino Arena on Thursday, starting at 8:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Stars as the most likely winner of the Stars vs. Wild game.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Stars vs. Wild prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NHL matchup between the Stars and Wild 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Stars a 56% chance of beating the Wild.
According to our model, the Wild (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Stars vs. Wild odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Stars | Wild |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+195) | +1.5 (-225) |
| Moneyline | -130 | +112 |
| Total | o5.5 (-102) | u5.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stars vs. Wild picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Stars -1.5 | +195 |
| Moneyline | Stars | -130 |
| Total | Over 5.5 | -102 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Stars -1.5 at the spread.
Stars vs. Wild player props
Who will score a goal in Stars vs. Wild?
According to our model, Kirill Kaprizov is most likely to score an anytime goal in Stars vs. Wild.
Our projections give Kaprizov a 45.3% chance of scoring a goal at Grand Casino Arena, while the star is a 10.0% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Dallas Stars
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jason Robertson | 34.8% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 34.6% |
| Wyatt Johnston | 33.1% |
| Roope Hintz | 29.3% |
| Matt Duchene | 24.7% |
Minnesota Wild
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov | 45.3% |
| Matt Boldy | 34.6% |
| Danila Yurov | 24.2% |
| Joel Ek | 23.1% |
| Marcus Johansson | 21.1% |
First goal scorer predictions
Dallas Stars
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jason Robertson | 7.6% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 7.0% |
| Wyatt Johnston | 6.8% |
| Roope Hintz | 6.3% |
| Matt Duchene | 4.9% |
Minnesota Wild
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov | 10.0% |
| Matt Boldy | 7.1% |
| Danila Yurov | 4.8% |
| Joel Ek | 4.0% |
| Marcus Johansson | 3.7% |
Stars vs. Wild game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's game between the Wild and Stars at Grand Casino Arena is scheduled to begin at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Stars vs. Minnesota Wild
- Date: Thursday, December 11, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Grand Casino Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Stars, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Wild on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Stars vs. Wild insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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