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Stars vs. Flames prediction: Why Dallas is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [11/22/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Dallas Stars vs Calgary Flames predictions for NHL Saturday.
The Calgary Flames will face the Dallas Stars in NHL action at Scotiabank Saddledome on Saturday, commencing at 10:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Stars as the most likely winner of the Stars vs. Flames game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Stars vs. Flames prediction: Who will win and cover?
As part of Dimers' NHL predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, puck line, and over/under probabilities for Saturday's clash between the Stars and Flames.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Stars a 56% chance of beating the Flames.
According to our model, the Flames (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 53% chance of going over.
Stars vs. Flames odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Stars | Flames |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+180) | +1.5 (-205) |
| Moneyline | -142 | +124 |
| Total | o5.5 (-128) | u5.5 (+110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stars vs. Flames picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Stars -1.5 | +180 |
| Moneyline | Flames | +124 |
| Total | Under 5.5 | +110 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 5.5 total goals.
Stars vs. Flames player props
Who will score a goal in Stars vs. Flames?
According to our model, Mikko Rantanen is most likely to score an anytime goal in Stars vs. Flames.
Our projections give Rantanen a 38.0% chance of scoring a goal at Scotiabank Saddledome, while the star is an 8.3% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Dallas Stars
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Mikko Rantanen | 38.0% |
| Wyatt Johnston | 34.7% |
| Jason Robertson | 34.6% |
| Tyler Seguin | 29.0% |
| Roope Hintz | 28.0% |
Calgary Flames
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nazem Kadri | 30.5% |
| Matthew Coronato | 28.4% |
| Jonathan Huberdeau | 24.4% |
| Morgan Frost | 19.9% |
| Blake Coleman | 19.9% |
First goal scorer predictions
Dallas Stars
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Mikko Rantanen | 8.3% |
| Jason Robertson | 7.3% |
| Wyatt Johnston | 7.0% |
| Tyler Seguin | 5.6% |
| Roope Hintz | 5.6% |
Calgary Flames
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nazem Kadri | 6.1% |
| Matthew Coronato | 5.2% |
| Jonathan Huberdeau | 4.9% |
| Blake Coleman | 3.9% |
| Adam Klapka | 3.6% |
Stars vs. Flames game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between the Flames and Stars at Scotiabank Saddledome is scheduled to start at 10:00PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Stars vs. Calgary Flames
- Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
- Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome
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Conclusion
We predict the Stars, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Flames on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Stars vs. Flames insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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