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Mavericks vs. Kings prediction: Dallas favored to win Tuesday's NBA game [1/6/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings predictions for NBA Tuesday.
NBA action continues on Tuesday at 11:00 PM ET as the Dallas Mavericks square off with the Sacramento Kings at Golden 1 Center.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Mavericks as the most likely winner of the Mavericks vs. Kings game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Kings lineup will feature stars like Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan and Russell Westbrook, while the Mavericks will rely on Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg and Naji Marshall.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Mavs vs. Kings prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NBA game between the Mavericks and Kings 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Mavericks a 66% chance of beating the Kings. Our predicted final score has the Mavericks winning 118-114.
According to our model, the Mavericks (-4.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 233.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Mavericks vs. Kings odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mavericks | Kings |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -4.5 (-110) | +4.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -192 | +165 |
| Total | o233.5 (-110) | u233.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mavericks vs. Kings picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mavericks -4.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Mavericks | -192 |
| Total | Under 233.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Tuesday, the top play to make on this game is Mavericks to win.
Mavericks vs. Kings player props
Looking for Mavericks vs. Kings NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Golden 1 Center.
Anthony Davis is expected to lead the Mavericks with 27 points, 12 rebounds and 4 assists, while Zach LaVine is projected to have 20 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists for the Kings.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Mavericks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Mavericks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis | 27 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 55 |
| Cooper Flagg | 21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 41 |
| Naji Marshall | 15 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 29 |
| B. Williams | 14 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 29 |
| Max Christie | 13 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 26 |
Kings prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Kings:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach LaVine | 20 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 33 |
| DeMar DeRozan | 18 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 33 |
| R. Westbrook | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 41 |
| Maxime Raynaud | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 30 |
| Dennis Schroder | 12 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 27 |
Mavs vs. Kings game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's action between the Kings and Mavericks at Golden 1 Center is scheduled to begin at 11:00 PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings
- Date: Tuesday, January 6, 2026
- Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
- Venue: Golden 1 Center
Conclusion
We predict the Mavericks, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Tuesday, with Anthony Davis projected for a game-high 55 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mavericks vs. Kings insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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