Mavericks vs. Lakers prediction: Lakers to win, LeBron James projected for 23 points in Thursday's NBA game [2/12/2026]

NBA action continues on Thursday at 10:00 PM ET as the Dallas Mavericks take on the favored Los Angeles Lakers at Crypto.com Arena.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Lakers as the most likely winner of the Mavericks vs. Lakers game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Lakers lineup will feature players like LeBron James, Austin Reaves and Rui Hachimura, while the Mavericks will look to Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams and P.J. Washington.

Luka Doncic will not be on the court, with the Slovenian star out for this one.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Mavs vs. Lakers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NBA matchup between the Mavericks and Lakers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Lakers a 68% chance of beating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Lakers winning 120-115.

According to our model, the Mavericks (+6) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 237.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

Mavericks vs. Lakers odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mavericks vs. Lakers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Under 237.5 total points.

Mavericks vs. Lakers player props

Looking for Mavericks vs. Lakers NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.

Naji Marshall is expected to lead the Mavericks with 20 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists, while LeBron James is projected to have 23 points, 6 rebounds and 8 assists for the Lakers.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Mavericks prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Mavericks are:

Lakers prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Lakers:

Mavs vs. Lakers game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's matchup between the Lakers and Mavericks at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Dallas Mavericks vs. Los Angeles Lakers
• Date: Thursday, February 12, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Crypto.com Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Lakers, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Thursday, with LeBron James projected for a game-high 50 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mavericks vs. Lakers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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