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Mavericks vs. Celtics prediction: Boston favored to win Friday's NBA game [3/6/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics predictions for NBA Friday.
The Boston Celtics will square off with the Dallas Mavericks in NBA action at TD Garden on Friday, commencing at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Celtics as the most likely winner of the Mavericks vs. Celtics game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Celtics lineup will feature players like Jaylen Brown, Derrick White and Payton Pritchard, while the Mavericks will rely on Cooper Flagg, Brandon Williams and P.J. Washington.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Mavs vs. Celtics prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NBA matchup between the Mavericks and Celtics 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Celtics an 87% chance of beating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Celtics winning 119-106.
According to our model, the Mavericks (+15) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the 226.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Mavericks vs. Celtics odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mavericks | Celtics |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +15 (-110) | -15 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +750 | -1150 |
| Total | o226.5 (-110) | u226.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mavericks vs. Celtics picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mavericks +15 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Mavericks | +750 |
| Total | Over 226.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Mavericks +15 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mavericks vs. Celtics player props
Looking for Mavericks vs. Celtics NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at TD Garden.
Cooper Flagg is expected to lead the Mavericks with 17 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists, while Jaylen Brown is projected to have 29 points, 8 rebounds and 6 assists for the Celtics.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Mavericks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Mavericks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg | 17 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 33 |
| B. Williams | 15 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 27 |
| P.J. Washington | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 30 |
| Naji Marshall | 14 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 27 |
| Max Christie | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 22 |
Celtics prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Celtics:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown | 29 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 53 |
| Derrick White | 16 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 39 |
| P. Pritchard | 16 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 33 |
| Jayson Tatum | 15 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 31 |
| Nikola Vucevic | 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 28 |
Mavs vs. Celtics game-day updates and essential details
Friday's action between the Celtics and Mavericks at TD Garden is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Mavericks vs. Boston Celtics
- Date: Friday, March 6, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: TD Garden
Conclusion
We predict the Celtics, with an 87% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Friday, with Jaylen Brown projected for a game-high 53 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mavericks vs. Celtics insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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