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Mavericks vs. Celtics Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mavericks vs. Celtics NBA game on March 6, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIVE
2nd 11:11
NBA
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LIVE
2nd 11:11
Updating LIVE
NBA
23
:
24
Mar 7, 12AM TD Garden
Mar 7, 12AM TD Garden
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 |
Celtics | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
13%
87%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 |
Celtics | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 |
Q2 11:13 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:29 Celtics makes three point jump shot
Q2 11:44 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:50 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:00 Payton Pritchard makes two point jump shot
Q1 00:02 Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:25 Mavericks makes three point jump shot
Q1 00:32 Celtics misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:54 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:08 Celtics misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
23-24
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Celtics personal foul
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
23-21
Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Payton Pritchard offensive rebound
+2
Payton Pritchard makes two point jump shot
22-23
Instant replay
End of 1st Quarter.
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall, Moussa Cisse, Caleb Martin)
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Payton Pritchard, Neemias Queta, Derrick White, Jayson Tatum)
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
22-21
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Celtics defensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
19-21
Luka Garza offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
19-19
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
17-19
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Hugo Gonzalez defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
17-16
Mavericks personal foul
Dwight Powell turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
17-14
Celtics personal foul
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
16-12
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
17-12
Celtics lineup change (Hugo Gonzalez, Luka Garza, Baylor Scheierman, Payton Pritchard, Derrick White)
Celtics turnover
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall, Caleb Martin)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
15-12
Luka Garza offensive rebound
Celtics turnover
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Luka Garza offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Naji Marshall makes two point jump shot
13-12
Celtics 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall, Moussa Cisse, Caleb Martin)
Celtics lineup change (Hugo Gonzalez, Luka Garza, Baylor Scheierman, Jaylen Brown, Payton Pritchard)
Celtics turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
11-12
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
9-12
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Celtics defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics lineup change (Hugo Gonzalez, Nikola Vucevic, Baylor Scheierman, Jaylen Brown, Payton Pritchard)
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, Moussa Cisse, Khris Middleton)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
9-9
Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
9-7
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Celtics turnover
Mavericks turnover
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
Moussa Cisse misses two point tip layup
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
7-7
Celtics personal foul
+1
Khris Middleton makes technical free throw 1 of 1
5-7
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington, Moussa Cisse, Khris Middleton)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
4-7
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
4-5
Celtics personal foul
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
3-2
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
4-2
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
Neemias Queta misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Celtics offensive rebound
Neemias Queta misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
2-2
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Max Christie defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
0-2
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Neemias Queta offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Max Christie defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Jaylen Brown offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Dwight Powell vs. Neemias Queta (Sam Hauser gains possession)
Start of 1st Quarter
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Jaylen Brown, Neemias Queta, Derrick White, Jayson Tatum)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 10 | B. Williams | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| F | 16 | C. Martin | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| C | 30 | M. Cisse | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| G | 31 | K. Thompson | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 13 | N. Marshall | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 11 | P. Pritchard | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| F | 30 | S. Hauser | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| C | 88 | N. Queta | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| G | 9 | D. White | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 0 | J. Tatum | 0 | 2 | 3 |
Game Prediction Article
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Mavericks vs. Celtics: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Mavericks vs. Celtics
- Date: Friday, March 6, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: TD Garden
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Celtics favored at -15
- Total (Over/Under): 225.5
- Moneyline Odds: Mavericks +800, Celtics -1111
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Mavericks: 13%
- Celtics: 87%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Mavericks 106-120 Celtics.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 13%, while the Celtics have a win probability of 87%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Celtics are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at TD Garden on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Mavericks vs. Celtics predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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