Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders: Experts release early Week 17 predictions [2025]

The Dallas Cowboys and Washington Commanders will meet in Week 17 of the NFL season at Northwest Stadium on Thursday, December 25, 2025, starting at 1:00 PM ET.

Early simulations from Dimers' trusted NFL model favor the Cowboys as the most likely winner of this NFC East rivalry matchup.

For updates all week long, including best bets, player prop projections and touchdown probabilities, check out our interactive Cowboys vs. Commanders predictions page.

Dallas vs. Washington early predictions

Leveraging trusted machine learning and analysis, we have simulated the Cowboys vs. Commanders game 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage. Here are the latest insights:

• Straight up win probabilities: Cowboys 66%, Commanders 34%
• Predicted final score: Cowboys 28-23 Commanders
• Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) 42%, Commanders (+6.5) 58%
• Total points (50.5): Over 54%, Under 46%

As of December 22, 2025, these Cowboys-Commanders figures and predictions reflect the latest data and insights available.

Cowboys vs. Commanders Week 17 details

The NFL Week 17 action between the Commanders and Cowboys at Northwest Stadium is scheduled for December 25, 2025.

• Who: Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders
• Date: Thursday, December 25, 2025
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Northwest Stadium

Cowboys vs. Commanders opening odds

We've researched the best betting odds across America for this Week 17 game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Cowboys -6.5 (-110), Commanders +6.5 (-104)
• Moneyline: Cowboys -285, Commanders +280
• Total: Over/Under 50.5 (-102/-105)

Odds may continue to move—track live changes via our NFL odds page.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Early NFL player projections for Week 17 highlight the top candidates to score a TD in Cowboys-Commanders in Week 17:

Dallas Cowboys

• Javonte Williams: 52.7% probability
• George Pickens: 38.5% probability
• CeeDee Lamb: 38.0% probability

Washington Commanders

• Chris Rodriguez: 39.7% probability
• Terry McLaurin: 35.6% probability
• Deebo Samuel: 30.7% probability

Cowboys vs Commanders player props

Javonte Williams is projected to lead rushing for the Cowboys, while Chris Rodriguez is expected to pace the Commanders on the ground.

In the receiving game, our projections favor Dallas' George Pickens and Washington's Terry McLaurin as the likely leaders for each team.

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Conclusion

We predict the Cowboys, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Commanders in Week 17 of the NFL season. Dimers.com will provide full game coverage closer to kickoff, so stay tuned for updates.

Enhanced by AI and automation, this article delivers quick, accurate insights on the Cowboys vs. Commanders matchup, with human oversight maintaining high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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