Cowboys vs. Jets prediction: Jets favored to win in NFL Week 5, 2025

The New York Jets will take on the Dallas Cowboys in NFL Week 5 action at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Jets as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Cowboys-Jets game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Jets with a win probability of 54%, while the Cowboys have 46%."

This gameday Cowboys vs. Jets betting preview builds on my Cowboys vs. Jets prediction that was posted earlier in the week.

For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Cowboys vs. Jets predictions page.

Cowboys vs. Jets Predictions

Since our Cowboys-Jets predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Cowboys and Jets 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Jets a 54% chance of beating the Cowboys in Week 5 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Jets winning 23-22.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Cowboys and Jets each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 48.5-point over/under has a 57% chance of staying under.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 5 straight up picks.

Cowboys vs. Jets odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Cowboys	Jets
Spread	+1.5 (-105)	-1.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+114	-120
Total	o48.5 (-105)	u48.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Cowboys vs. Jets picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Cowboys vs. Jets matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks and NFL best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Cowboys vs. Jets TD scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Cowboys vs. Jets?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Dallas' Javonte Williams is most likely to score the first TD in Cowboys vs. Jets.

Our projections give Williams a 12.6% chance of scoring the first TD at MetLife Stadium, while the Cowboys running back is a 49.6% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

First touchdown scorer predictions

Dallas Cowboys

Player	First TD Probability
Javonte Williams (RB)	12.6%
George Pickens (WR)	9.5%
Jake Ferguson (TE)	6.1%

New York Jets

Player	First TD Probability
Breece Hall (RB)	12.1%
Justin Fields (QB)	10.3%
Garrett Wilson (WR)	9.2%

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Dallas Cowboys

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Javonte Williams (RB)	49.6%
George Pickens (WR)	40.4%
Jake Ferguson (TE)	28.3%

New York Jets

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Breece Hall (RB)	44.3%
Justin Fields (QB)	39.1%
Garrett Wilson (WR)	35.9%

Cowboys vs Jets player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Cowboys and Jets. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our NFL player projections page now to access player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 5 games.

Cowboys vs. Jets quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Cowboys' Dak Prescott is projected to throw for more yards than the Jets' Justin Fields.

Cowboys rushing

Javonte Williams, Jaydon Blue and Dak Prescott are projected to be the leading rushers for the Cowboys.

Player	Position
Javonte Williams	RB
Jaydon Blue	RB
Dak Prescott	QB

Jets rushing

Breece Hall, Justin Fields and Isaiah Davis are expected to lead the Jets in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Breece Hall	RB
Justin Fields	QB
Isaiah Davis	RB

Cowboys receiving

George Pickens, Jake Ferguson, Jalen Tolbert, Ryan Flournoy and Javonte Williams are projected to top the receiving yards for the Cowboys.

Player	Position
George Pickens	WR
Jake Ferguson	TE
Jalen Tolbert	WR
Ryan Flournoy	WR
Javonte Williams	RB

Jets receiving

Garrett Wilson, Mason Taylor, Breece Hall, Josh Reynolds and Tyler Johnson are projected to lead the Jets in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Garrett Wilson	WR
Mason Taylor	TE
Breece Hall	RB
Josh Reynolds	WR
Tyler Johnson	WR

Cowboys vs. Jets game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 5 game between the Jets and Cowboys at MetLife Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Jets
• Date: Sunday, October 5, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: MetLife Stadium

Dimers' full preview of Sunday's Cowboys vs. Jets matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Cowboys vs. Jets picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Jets, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Cowboys in Week 5 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cowboys vs. Jets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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