Cowboys vs. Broncos prediction: Denver favored to win in NFL Week 8, 2025

NFL Week 8 action continues on Sunday at 4:25PM ET as the Dallas Cowboys take on the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Broncos as the most likely winner of the Cowboys vs. Broncos game.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including touchdown scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.

Cowboys vs. Broncos prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Since our Cowboys-Broncos predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Cowboys and Broncos 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Broncos a 60% chance of defeating the Cowboys in Week 8 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Broncos winning 27-24.

According to our model, the Cowboys (+3.5) have a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the 51.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 8 straight up picks.

Cowboys vs. Broncos odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Cowboys	Broncos
Spread	+3.5 (-110)	-3.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+166	-192
Total	o51.5 (-110)	u51.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Cowboys vs. Broncos picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Cowboys +3.5	-110
Moneyline	Cowboys	+166
Total	Under 51.5	-110

According to our best NFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Cowboys +3.5 at the spread.

Cowboys vs. Broncos TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Cowboys vs. Broncos?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Javonte Williams is most likely to score an anytime TD in Cowboys vs. Broncos.

Our projections give Williams a 51.4% chance of scoring a TD at Empower Field at Mile High, while the running back is an 11.5% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Dallas Cowboys

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Javonte Williams (RB)	51.4%
CeeDee Lamb (WR)	35.9%
Jake Ferguson (TE)	33.4%
George Pickens (WR)	33.4%
KaVontae Turpin (WR)	14.4%

Denver Broncos

Player	Anytime TD Probability
J.K. Dobbins (RB)	49.2%
Courtland Sutton (WR)	38.4%
Marvin Mims (WR)	25.6%
Evan Engram (TE)	25.4%
Bo Nix (QB)	25.2%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Dallas Cowboys

Player	First TD Probability
Javonte Williams (RB)	11.5%
CeeDee Lamb (WR)	7.1%
Jake Ferguson (TE)	6.5%
George Pickens (WR)	6.5%
KaVontae Turpin (WR)	2.5%

Denver Broncos

Player	First TD Probability
J.K. Dobbins (RB)	10.7%
Courtland Sutton (WR)	7.7%
Marvin Mims (WR)	4.7%
Evan Engram (TE)	4.6%
Bo Nix (QB)	4.6%

Cowboys vs Broncos player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Cowboys and Broncos. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 8 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Cowboys' Dak Prescott is projected to have a big game with 262 passing yards, while the Broncos' Bo Nix is expected to throw for 247 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Dak Prescott (DAL)	262
Bo Nix (DEN)	247

Cowboys rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Javonte Williams	66
Jaydon Blue	14
Dak Prescott	10

Broncos rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
J.K. Dobbins	73
Bo Nix	27
RJ Harvey	19

Cowboys receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
CeeDee Lamb	80
George Pickens	62
Jake Ferguson	44
KaVontae Turpin	22
Javonte Williams	20

Broncos receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Courtland Sutton	68
Troy Franklin	42
Evan Engram	37
Marvin Mims	36
RJ Harvey	18

Cowboys vs. Broncos game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 8 game between the Broncos and Cowboys at Empower Field at Mile High is scheduled to start at 4:25PM ET.

• Who: Dallas Cowboys vs. Denver Broncos
• Date: Sunday, October 26, 2025
• Time: 4:25PM ET/1:25PM PT
• Venue: Empower Field at Mile High

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Conclusion

We predict the Broncos, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Cowboys in Week 8 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cowboys vs. Broncos insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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