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Read Article Rockies vs. Astros prediction: Houston favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [4/16/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros predictions for MLB Thursday.
The Houston Astros will square off with the Colorado Rockies in MLB action at Daikin Park on Thursday, starting at 8:10 PM ET.
Ryan Weiss (0-2, 7.36 ERA) will start for the Astros, up against Juan Mejia (0-2, 5.40 ERA) for the Rockies.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Astros as the most likely winner of the Rockies vs. Astros game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Rockies vs. Astros prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Rockies and Astros, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Astros a 61% chance of beating the Rockies.
According to our model, the Rockies (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 56% chance of going over.
Rockies vs. Astros odds [4/16/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Rockies | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-144) | -1.5 (+130) |
| Moneyline | +146 | -166 |
| Total | o8.5 (-105) | u8.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Rockies vs. Astros picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Astros -1.5 | +130 |
| Moneyline | Rockies | +146 |
| Total | Over 8.5 | -105 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Rockies vs. Astros game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's MLB matchup between the Astros and Rockies at Daikin Park is scheduled to begin at 8:10 PM ET.
- Who: Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros
- Date: Thursday, April 16, 2026
- Time: 8:10 PM ET/5:10PM PT
- Venue: Daikin Park
Conclusion
We predict the Astros, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Rockies in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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