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Essendon Bombers vs. Collingwood Magpies prediction: Why Magpies are favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 7 matchup [4/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Essendon Bombers vs Collingwood Magpies predictions for AFL Saturday.
The Essendon Bombers and Collingwood Magpies will lock horns in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, starting at 1:20 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven AFL model predicts the Magpies as the most likely winner of the Magpies vs. Bombers game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Bombers vs. Magpies prediction: Who will win Round 7 game?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's AFL matchup between the Magpies and Bombers, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Magpies a 71% chance of beating the Bombers.
According to our model, the Magpies (-16.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 178.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Collingwood vs. Essendon odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Magpies | Bombers |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -244 | +190 |
| Line (Spread) | -16.5 (-115) | +16.5 (-115) |
| Total | o178.5 (-115) | u178.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Magpies vs. Bombers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Magpies -16.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Magpies | -244 |
| Total | Under 178.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Magpies to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Bombers vs. Magpies game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rules football matchup between the Bombers and Magpies at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:20 AM ET.
- Who: Collingwood Magpies vs. Essendon Bombers
- Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
- Time: 1:20 AM ET/10:20PM PT
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Magpies, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat the Bombers in Saturday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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