...
...
Read Article
- More Betting
College Football parlay: Our best touchdown prop picks for Conference Championship Saturday, December 6
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Reviewed by Nick Slade
Using the Dimers data, we've identified three touchdown props to make in the college football conference championship games on Saturday, December 6.
If you're looking to bet on touchdown props during college football's Conference Championship Saturday on December 6, then the Dimers model has your back!
Touchdowns are always one of the most exciting and potentially lucrative angles in all of college football betting. When multiple college football touchdown picks are paired into parlays or Round Robins, these championship-week insights can help turn a modest wager into a substantial payout, like today's which clocks in at +890 odds on DraftKings Sportsbook.
As the college football season winds down toward bowl season and the College Football Playoff, our proprietary betting model has dialed in on the matchups that matter most—examining pace, red-zone usage, defensive breakdowns, and matchups to project which players are most likely to find the end zone this weekend.
For the conference championship lineup this Saturday, we've assembled a little three-leg touchdown parlay, built from the high-value college football touchdown prop bets backed by Dimers model probabilities. These selections give you a clear, data-driven edge heading into one of the biggest slates of the entire year.
College Football Anytime Touchdown Scorers: Conference Championship Saturday
There’s a mix of RBs and WRs in this parlay who have a combined 26 touchdowns on the year, each boasting strong scoring probabilities heading into their conference title games.
We’ve analyzed each player, their TD probability, current odds, and the key factors that make them standout Anytime TD betting values for this massive championship Saturday slate.
1. Chauncey Bowens (Georgia) | Anytime TD odds: +195
Matchup details:
- Teams: Georgia vs. Alabama
- Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
- Time: 4:00 PM ET
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
To kick off this parlay, we're looking at the Bulldogs freshman RB Chauncey Bowens to score his seventh touchdown of the season.
Bowens is RB2 to Nate Frazier, but that hasn't kept him from finding the end zone as both have six scores this year, though Bowens has been much more consistent, never going two games in a row without a TD.
In their previous meeting with 'Bama, Bowens tallied 119 rushing yards and a touchdown on 12 carries and will be in line to do so again as the Dimers model gives him a 41.8% TD probability when Georgia looks to secure the SEC title on Saturday
This would put his fair odds at +140, however we've identified a substantial edge of 7.9% at +195 odds on FanDuel in what our model projects to be a highly competitive game with a razor-sharp win margin.
2. Jeremiah Smith (Ohio State) | Anytime TD odds: -135
Matchup details:
- Teams: Indiana vs. Ohio State
- Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
As we move to the night slate, we'll be looking for Buckeyes WR Jeremiah Smith to secure his 12th touchdown of the year when the two top-ranked teams look to claim the only possible 13-0 season this year.
His current mark of 11 is tied for the fourth-most in all of college football this season and only went without a touchdown in two of Ohio State's biggest blowouts, and that shouldn't be the case this Saturday.
The Buckeyes enter as 4.5-point favorites with our model giving Indiana a nearly 40% probability of an upset in a competitive game that should the see the stars as the focal point.
At a 60.6% probability, Smith would be a fair play all the way up to -150, giving us a 3.1% edge at his best odds.
3. Nate Sheppard (Duke) | Anytime TD odds: -125
Matchup details:
- Teams: Duke vs. Virginia
- Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Bank of America Stadium
At the same time as the SEC Championship, we'll also have our eyes on the ACC Championship between Duke and Virginia Tech, looking for Blue Devils RB Nate Sheppard to reach double-digit touchdowns in his first season.
He'd have the most on the team if not for fellow RB, senior Anderson Castle, picking up five scores in their past two games, but Sheppard is the lead back coming off his two highest volume games of the season with 22+ carries in each, while Castle has toted single-digit carries in six games.
Neither scored in their meeting with Virginia earlier this season, a 34-17 loss for Duke, but this one projects much more closely in the Dimers model with a final score of 30-26 in favor of Virginia.
At 60.7%, our model says Sheppard should be no better than -155, giving us a solid 5.1% edge at his odds of -125 on FanDuel.
College Football Anytime Touchdown Scorers: Championship Saturday Parlay
For bettors looking to capitalize on this data, an Anytime Touchdown Parlay offers a way to chase upside on Championship Saturday.
If you're looking for a bigger payout and more flexibility than a traditional parlay, consider playing these three players to each score the first touchdown in a round robin.
With strong scoring probabilities and appealing prices across the board, a CFB First Touchdown Round Robin—built with 2 and 3-leg combinations—is a high-entertainment, high-upside strategy for Conference Championship Saturday.
To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Nick Slade through our fact-checking process.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
Advertiser disclosure