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College football picks today: Week 15 Friday best bets include UNLV vs. Boise State play [12/5/2025]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get college football picks and best bets for Friday, December 5, 2025.

College Football Best Bets.
These college football betting picks for December 5, 2025, are based on the latest odds and probabilities for Friday's games.

Today’s college football picks for December 05, 2025 are here, with UNLV vs. Boise State among the top plays identified by our model across Friday’s college football slate.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest football odds to discover top betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of college football picks tonight [12/5, updated 7:33PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s best college football bets, ranked by edge for Friday, December 5, 2025.

UNLV vs. Boise State over 59.5 points (-110)

Our model has identified value on over 59.5 points in UNLV vs. Boise State at -110 odds. A 59.2% probability produces an edge of 6.8%, making this the strongest play for today's college football slate.

 

UNLV ML (+200)

UNLV ML carries a 3.5% edge and a probability of 36.8% at +200 odds, according to our model.

 

North Texas vs. Tulane over 66.5 points (-110)

North Texas vs. Tulane over 66.5 points at -110 odds shows a 3.1% edge, supported by a 55.5% probability in simulations.

 

Western Michigan -1.5 (-110)

A 5.8% edge and 58.2% probability make Western Michigan -1.5 vs. Miami Ohio at a value play in the Miami Ohio vs. Western Michigan matchup, per our model.

 

Western Michigan ML (-120)

Western Michigan ML at -120 odds presents a 5.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 60.1%.

 

Abilene Christian vs. Stephen F. Austin under 49.5 points (-110)

Our model finds value on under 49.5 points in Abilene Christian vs. Stephen F. Austin at -110 odds, supported by an edge of 3.5%.

 

UNLV ML (+200)

  • Edge: 3.5%
  • Probability: 36.8%
  • Matchup: UNLV vs. Boise State (8:00PM ET, Friday) Our model has uncovered value on UNLV ML at +200 odds. A 36.8% probability produces a 3.5% edge, making this a strong play for today's college football action.

 

North Dakota ML (+185)

A 3.3% edge on a 38.4% probability makes North Dakota to win at +185 odds a solid value play in today's North Dakota vs. Tarleton State matchup.

 

North Texas vs. Tulane over 66.5 points (-110)

Our model projects value on over 66.5 points at -110 odds. A 55.5% probability produces a 3.1% edge, making the over the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

 

NCAAF best bets summary: Friday, 12/5/2025

As of 7:33PM ET, here are our top college football bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup Bet Odds Edge Probability
UNLV vs. Boise State Over 59.5 Points -110 @ BetMGM 6.8% 59.2%
UNLV vs. Boise State UNLV ML +200 @ DraftKings 3.5% 36.8%
North Texas vs. Tulane Over 66.5 Points -110 @ BetMGM 3.1% 55.5%
Miami Ohio vs. Western Michigan Western Michigan -1.5 -110 @ BetMGM 5.8% 58.2%
Miami Ohio vs. Western Michigan Western Michigan ML -120 @ BetMGM 5.6% 60.1%
Abilene Christian vs. Stephen F. Austin Under 49.5 Points -110 @ BetMGM 3.5% 55.9%
UNLV vs. Boise State UNLV ML +200 @ DraftKings 3.5% 36.8%
North Dakota vs. Tarleton State North Dakota ML +185 @ BetMGM 3.3% 38.4%
North Texas vs. Tulane Over 66.5 Points -110 @ BetMGM 3.1% 55.5%

List of upcoming college football games to bet on now

More college football betting

For further insights into this week's NCAAF action, check out the latest from the Dimers Sports Betting Podcast:

Conclusion

Our college football best bets are locked and loaded for December 5, 2025, featuring plays such as over 59.5 points in the UNLV vs. Boise State matchup and UNLV ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college football insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

Note: Clicking links to our sportsbook partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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