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Cavaliers vs. Pistons prediction: Detroit favored to win Friday's NBA matchup [2/27/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Cleveland Cavaliers vs Detroit Pistons predictions for NBA Friday.
The Detroit Pistons will take on the Cleveland Cavaliers in NBA action at Little Caesars Arena on Friday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Pistons as the most likely winner of the Cavaliers vs. Pistons game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pistons lineup will feature stars like Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren and Tobias Harris, while the Cavaliers will look to Dennis Schroder, Jaylon Tyson and Jarrett Allen.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Cavs vs. Pistons prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA matchup between the Cavaliers and Pistons 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Pistons a 73% chance of beating the Cavaliers. Our predicted final score has the Pistons winning 117-110.
According to our model, the Cavaliers (+8.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 227.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Cavaliers vs. Pistons odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cavaliers | Pistons |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8.5 (-105) | -8.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | +290 | -340 |
| Total | o227.5 (-110) | u227.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cavaliers vs. Pistons picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Cavaliers +8.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Cavaliers | +290 |
| Total | Over 227.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Cavaliers +8.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cavaliers vs. Pistons player props
Betting on Cleveland vs. Detroit NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Little Caesars Arena.
Dennis Schroder is expected to lead the Cavaliers with 16 points, 3 rebounds and 6 assists, while Cade Cunningham is projected to have 27 points, 6 rebounds and 11 assists for the Pistons.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Cavaliers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Cavaliers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Schroder | 16 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 35 |
| Jaylon Tyson | 15 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| Jarrett Allen | 15 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 35 |
| Evan Mobley | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 34 |
| Sam Merrill | 14 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 25 |
Pistons prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pistons:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham | 27 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 57 |
| Jalen Duren | 19 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 40 |
| Tobias Harris | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 27 |
| Duncan Robinson | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 21 |
| Ausar Thompson | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 26 |
Cavs vs. Pistons game-day updates and essential details
Friday's matchup between the Pistons and Cavaliers at Little Caesars Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Detroit Pistons
- Date: Friday, February 27, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Little Caesars Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Pistons, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat the Cavaliers on Friday, with Cade Cunningham projected for a game-high 57 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cavaliers vs. Pistons insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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