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Cavaliers vs. Pistons Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cavaliers vs. Pistons NBA game on February 27, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Feb 28, 12AM Little Caesars Arena
Feb 28, 12AM Little Caesars Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cavaliers | 35 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 47 |
Pistons | 27 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 44 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
32%
68%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cavaliers | 35 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 47 |
Pistons | 27 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 44 |
Q2 3:34 Pistons misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:55 Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
Q2 4:09 Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:15 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:31 Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:57 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q2 5:10 Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:34 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q2 5:43 Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:04 Jalen Duren misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
47-44
Pistons personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Jarrett Allen, Jaylon Tyson, Dennis Schroder, Craig Porter Jr.)
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Daniss Jenkins, Paul Reed, Ausar Thompson, Tobias Harris)
Nae'Qwan Tomlin offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
44-44
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Daniss Jenkins, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris)
Stoppage (Blood rule)
Cavaliers turnover
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
44-42
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
44-39
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-40
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Jalen Duren misses two point jump shot
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Javonte Green offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren)
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Pistons turnover
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
44-38
Pistons turnover
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
42-38
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
40-38
Caris LeVert defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
40-35
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 1
40-36
Cavaliers lineup change (Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Jarrett Allen, Sam Merrill, Jaylon Tyson, Dennis Schroder)
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
40-33
Cavaliers turnover
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Jarrett Allen, Sam Merrill, Jaylon Tyson, Dennis Schroder)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
40-31
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Cavaliers turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Ronald Holland II misses two point running layup
Cavaliers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Caris LeVert, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Jalen Duren)
Cavaliers turnover
Ronald Holland II turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Paul Reed offensive rebound
+2
Paul Reed makes two point putback dunk
40-29
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
40-27
Cade Cunningham offensive rebound
Pistons turnover
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cade Cunningham offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Paul Reed offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Craig Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+1
Sam Merrill makes regular free throw 1 of 3
36-27
+1
Sam Merrill makes regular free throw 2 of 3
37-27
+1
Sam Merrill makes regular free throw 3 of 3
38-27
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Thomas Bryant offensive rebound
Thomas Bryant misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Caris LeVert, Paul Reed, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green)
Cavaliers lineup change (Tyrese Proctor, Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, Thomas Bryant, Craig Porter Jr.)
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+1
Thomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
34-27
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Caris LeVert, Daniss Jenkins, Paul Reed, Tobias Harris)
Cavaliers lineup change (Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Evan Mobley, Thomas Bryant, Jaylon Tyson, Craig Porter Jr.)
+1
Thomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
35-27
Cavaliers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
33-27
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
30-27
Cavaliers personal foul
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
30-24
Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
28-24
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
26-24
Paul Reed offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
Caris LeVert offensive rebound
Pistons turnover
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Pistons turnover (shot clock violation)
Pistons personal foul
+1
Jaylon Tyson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-22
Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Caris LeVert, Daniss Jenkins, Paul Reed, Tobias Harris)
Jaylon Tyson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Paul Reed defensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
25-22
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
25-20
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
23-19
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Tyrese Proctor, Thomas Bryant, Jaylon Tyson, Craig Porter Jr.)
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 1
23-20
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
23-17
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
21-17
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
Pistons offensive rebound
Ausar Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Caris LeVert, Paul Reed, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson)
Ausar Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
21-15
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Tyrese Proctor offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Pistons personal foul
+1
Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 1 of 2
18-15
+1
Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-15
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers lineup change (Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Tyrese Proctor, Jarrett Allen, Dennis Schroder, Craig Porter Jr.)
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Ronald Holland II, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren)
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
17-15
Pistons 60 second timeout
Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Jarrett Allen, Sam Merrill, Dennis Schroder, Craig Porter Jr.)
Sam Merrill defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
14-15
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
14-13
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
11-13
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
11-11
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Cade Cunningham turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
9-11
Pistons turnover
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
6-11
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
6-9
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
4-9
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
4-7
Pistons personal foul
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
3-5
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
4-5
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
2-5
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
2-2
+2
Cade Cunningham makes two point jump shot
0-2
(Ausar Thompson gains possession)
Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Jarrett Allen, Sam Merrill, Jaylon Tyson, Dennis Schroder)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 9 | C. Porter Jr. | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| F | 20 | J. Tyson | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| F | 4 | E. Mobley | 10 | 2 | 1 |
| G | 8 | D. Schroder | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| C | 31 | J. Allen | 10 | 5 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 7 | P. Reed | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| G | 24 | D. Jenkins | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 12 | T. Harris | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| G | 55 | D. Robinson | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 9 | A. Thompson | 0 | 3 | 4 |
Game Prediction Article
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Cavaliers vs. Pistons: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Cavaliers vs. Pistons
- Date: Friday, February 27, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Little Caesars Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Pistons favored at -8.5
- Total (Over/Under): 227
- Moneyline Odds: Cavaliers +290, Pistons -340
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Cavaliers: 27%
- Pistons: 73%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Cavaliers 110-117 Pistons.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cavaliers a win probability of 27%, while the Pistons have a win probability of 73%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Pistons are more likely to beat the Cavaliers in the NBA game at Little Caesars Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Cavaliers vs. Pistons predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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