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Cavaliers vs. Nuggets prediction: Cleveland to win, Donovan Mitchell projected for big game in Monday's NBA matchup [2/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Cleveland Cavaliers vs Denver Nuggets predictions for NBA Monday.
The Denver Nuggets and Cleveland Cavaliers will lock horns in NBA action at Ball Arena on Monday, starting at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model gives the Cavaliers a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Nuggets.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature players like Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Tim Hardaway, while the Cavaliers will rely on Donovan Mitchell, James Harden and Jarrett Allen.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's Cavaliers vs. Nuggets matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Cavs vs. Nuggets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's NBA matchup between the Cavaliers and Nuggets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Cavaliers a 53% chance of defeating the Nuggets. Our predicted score is Cavaliers 117-117 Nuggets.
According to our model, the Nuggets (-1.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 238.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.
While there is no way for an NBA game to end in a tie, our prediction of 117-117 is based on each team's average score in the above-mentioned simulations of Cavaliers vs. Nuggets.
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cavaliers | Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (-118) | -1.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | -106 | -110 |
| Total | o238.5 (-115) | u238.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Nuggets -1.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Nuggets | -110 |
| Total | Under 238.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Nuggets -1.5 at the spread.
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets player props
NBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on Monday's Cavaliers vs. Nuggets game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.
Donovan Mitchell is expected to lead the Cavaliers with 28 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to have 27 points, 12 rebounds and 10 assists for the Nuggets.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Cavaliers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Cavaliers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mitchell | 28 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 47 |
| James Harden | 21 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 44 |
| Jarrett Allen | 15 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 34 |
| Jaylon Tyson | 13 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 26 |
| Sam Merrill | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 19 |
Nuggets prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nuggets:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 27 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 66 |
| Jamal Murray | 26 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 49 |
| Tim Hardaway | 14 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 22 |
| Cameron Johnson | 13 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 25 |
| J. Strawther | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
Cavs vs. Nuggets game-day updates and essential details
Monday's game between the Nuggets and Cavaliers at Ball Arena is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Denver Nuggets
- Date: Monday, February 9, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Ball Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Cavaliers, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Nuggets on Monday, with Nikola Jokic projected for a game-high 66 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cavaliers vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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