Cavaliers vs. Nuggets prediction: Denver to win, Donovan Mitchell projected for big game in Monday's NBA matchup [2/9/2026]

The Denver Nuggets will face the Cleveland Cavaliers in NBA action at Ball Arena on Monday, commencing at 9:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Cavaliers vs. Nuggets game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature stars like Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Tim Hardaway, while the Cavaliers will be led by Donovan Mitchell, James Harden and Jarrett Allen.

This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Cavs vs. Nuggets prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's NBA game between the Cavaliers and Nuggets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Nuggets a 59% chance of beating the Cavaliers. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 120-117.

According to our model, the Nuggets (-3) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 243.5-point over/under has a 58% chance of staying under.

Cavaliers vs. Nuggets odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Cavaliers	Nuggets
Spread	+3 (-114)	-3 (-106)
Moneyline	+120	-135
Total	o243.5 (-105)	u243.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Cavaliers vs. Nuggets picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Nuggets -3	-106
Moneyline	Nuggets	-135
Total	Under 243.5	-110

According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Under 243.5 total points.

Cavaliers vs. Nuggets player props

Betting on Cavaliers vs. Nuggets NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.

Donovan Mitchell is expected to lead the Cavaliers with 27 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to have 27 points, 12 rebounds and 10 assists for the Nuggets.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Cavaliers prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Cavaliers are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
D. Mitchell	27	4	6	4	48
James Harden	21	4	8	3	44
Jarrett Allen	15	9	2	0	34
Jaylon Tyson	13	5	2	2	26
Sam Merrill	10	2	2	3	19

Nuggets prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nuggets:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Nikola Jokic	27	12	10	2	65
Jamal Murray	26	4	7	4	49
Tim Hardaway	14	3	1	3	22
Cameron Johnson	13	4	3	2	25
J. Strawther	12	4	2	1	23

Cavs vs. Nuggets game-day updates and essential details

Monday's action between the Nuggets and Cavaliers at Ball Arena is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Denver Nuggets
• Date: Monday, February 9, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Ball Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Nuggets, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Cavaliers on Monday, with Nikola Jokic projected for a game-high 65 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cavaliers vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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