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Browns vs. Patriots prediction: New England favored to win in NFL Week 8, 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Cleveland Browns vs New England Patriots predictions for NFL Sunday.
The New England Patriots will take on the Cleveland Browns in NFL Week 8 action at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Patriots as the most likely winner of the Browns vs. Patriots game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including touchdown scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.
Browns vs. Patriots prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?
Since our Browns-Patriots predictions [earlier in the week](https://www.cleveland-browns-vs-new england-patriots-midweek-prediction-nfl-week-8-2025-ac), we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Browns and Patriots 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Patriots a 77% chance of defeating the Browns in Week 8 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Patriots winning 23-17.
According to our model, the Patriots (-6.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 40.5 points has a 55% chance of going over.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 8 straight up picks.
Browns vs. Patriots odds
We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Browns | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6.5 (-102) | -6.5 (-118) |
| Moneyline | +295 | -340 |
| Total | o40.5 (-105) | u40.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Browns vs. Patriots picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Patriots -6.5 | -118 |
| Moneyline | Patriots | -340 |
| Total | Over 40.5 | -105 |
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 40.5 total points.
Browns vs. Patriots TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Browns vs. Patriots?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Quinshon Judkins is most likely to score an anytime TD in Browns vs. Patriots.
Our projections give Judkins a 46.0% chance of scoring a TD at Gillette Stadium, while the running back is a 12.4% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Cleveland Browns
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Quinshon Judkins (RB) | 46.0% |
| David Njoku (TE) | 20.7% |
| Harold Fannin (TE) | 19.7% |
| Jerry Jeudy (WR) | 19.0% |
| Isaiah Bond (WR) | 13.5% |
New England Patriots
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) | 43.9% |
| Hunter Henry (TE) | 30.9% |
| Stefon Diggs (WR) | 30.1% |
| Kayshon Boutte (WR) | 22.6% |
| TreVeyon Henderson (RB) | 21.2% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
Cleveland Browns
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Quinshon Judkins (RB) | 12.4% |
| David Njoku (TE) | 4.7% |
| Harold Fannin (TE) | 4.4% |
| Jerry Jeudy (WR) | 4.2% |
| Isaiah Bond (WR) | 2.9% |
New England Patriots
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) | 12.2% |
| Hunter Henry (TE) | 7.8% |
| Stefon Diggs (WR) | 7.6% |
| Kayshon Boutte (WR) | 5.4% |
| TreVeyon Henderson (RB) | 5.0% |
Browns vs Patriots player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Browns and Patriots. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 8 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Browns' Dillon Gabriel is projected for 203 passing yards, while the Patriots' Drake Maye is expected to throw for 229 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Dillon Gabriel (CLE) | 203 |
| Drake Maye (NE) | 229 |
Browns rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Quinshon Judkins | 66 |
| Jerome Ford | 13 |
| Dillon Gabriel | 8 |
Patriots rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 50 |
| Drake Maye | 28 |
| TreVeyon Henderson | 20 |
Browns receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Jerry Jeudy | 49 |
| Harold Fannin | 35 |
| Isaiah Bond | 31 |
| David Njoku | 31 |
| Jamari Thrash | 15 |
Patriots receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Stefon Diggs | 62 |
| Kayshon Boutte | 38 |
| Hunter Henry | 38 |
| DeMario Douglas | 26 |
| Mack Hollins | 20 |
Browns vs. Patriots game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 8 game between the Patriots and Browns at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Cleveland Browns vs. New England Patriots
- Date: Sunday, October 26, 2025
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Patriots, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat the Browns in Week 8 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Browns vs. Patriots insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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