Bengals vs. Ravens prediction: Baltimore favored to win Thanksgiving Day NFL matchup, 2025

The Baltimore Ravens will square off with the Cincinnati Bengals in NFL Thanksgiving Day action at M&T Bank Stadium on Thanksgiving Day, beginning at 8:20PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Ravens as the most likely winner of the Bengals vs. Ravens game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Bengals vs. Ravens prediction: Who will win and cover?

Since our Bengals-Ravens predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NFL game between the Bengals and Ravens 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Ravens a 71% chance of defeating the Bengals in Week 13 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Ravens winning 28-22.

According to our model, the Bengals (+7) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 51.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 13 straight up picks.

Bengals vs. Ravens odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Bengals	Ravens
Spread	+7 (+100)	-7 (-120)
Moneyline	+310	-370
Total	o51.5 (-110)	u51.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Bengals vs. Ravens picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Bengals +7	+100
Moneyline	Bengals	+310
Total	Under 51.5	-105

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Bengals to win.

Bengals vs. Ravens TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Bengals vs. Ravens?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for TNF, Derrick Henry is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Bengals vs. Ravens.

Our projections give Henry a 63.0% chance of scoring a TD at M&T Bank Stadium, while the running back is a 14.7% chance of registering the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Cincinnati Bengals

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Ja'Marr Chase (WR)	48.1%
Chase Brown (RB)	41.4%
Andrei Iosivas (WR)	23.5%
Mitchell Tinsley (WR)	20.5%
Mike Gesicki (TE)	18.7%

Baltimore Ravens

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Derrick Henry (RB)	63.0%
Mark Andrews (TE)	41.3%
Zay Flowers (WR)	35.8%
Rashod Bateman (WR)	26.9%
Isaiah Likely (TE)	25.6%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Cincinnati Bengals

Player	First TD Probability
Ja'Marr Chase (WR)	10.4%
Chase Brown (RB)	8.5%
Andrei Iosivas (WR)	4.2%
Mitchell Tinsley (WR)	3.6%
Mike Gesicki (TE)	3.3%

Baltimore Ravens

Player	First TD Probability
Derrick Henry (RB)	14.7%
Mark Andrews (TE)	7.9%
Zay Flowers (WR)	6.5%
Rashod Bateman (WR)	4.6%
Isaiah Likely (TE)	4.4%

Bengals vs Ravens player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Bengals and Ravens. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 13 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bengals' Joe Burrow is projected to have a big game with 262 passing yards. The Ravens' Lamar Jackson is expected to throw for 234 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Joe Burrow (CIN)	262
Lamar Jackson (BAL)	234

Bengals rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Chase Brown	58
Samaje Perine	23
Joe Burrow	9

Ravens rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Derrick Henry	91
Lamar Jackson	33
Keaton Mitchell	27

Bengals receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Ja'Marr Chase	95
Mike Gesicki	39
Andrei Iosivas	38
Mitchell Tinsley	29
Chase Brown	24

Ravens receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Zay Flowers	72
Mark Andrews	44
Rashod Bateman	31
Isaiah Likely	31
DeAndre Hopkins	21

Bengals vs. Ravens game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 13 game between the Ravens and Bengals at M&T Bank Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:20PM ET.

• Who: Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens
• Date: Thursday, November 27, 2025 (Thanksgiving Day)
• Time: 8:20PM ET/5:20PM PT
• Venue: M&T Bank Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Ravens, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat the Bengals in Week 13 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bengals vs. Ravens insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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