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Chicago Fire vs. NY Red Bulls prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Chicago Fire vs NY Red Bulls predictions for MLS Saturday.
Chicago and NY Red Bulls will lock horns in MLS action at Soldier Field on Saturday, with kickoff at 2:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLS model projects Chicago as the most likely winner of the Chicago vs. NY Red Bulls game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Chicago Fire vs. NY Red Bulls prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS game between Chicago and NY Red Bulls, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model indicates a 63.6% chance of Chicago winning, an 18.0% chance for NY Red Bulls, and an 18.4% chance of a draw.
Chicago Fire vs. NY Red Bulls odds
We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | Chicago | NY Red Bulls | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -200 | +480 | +390 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Chicago Fire vs. NY Red Bulls picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | NY Red Bulls | +480 |
According to our best MLS bets, the top play to make on this game is NY Red Bulls to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Chicago Fire vs. NY Red Bulls: Correct score predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-1 Chicago win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| CHI 2-1 NYR | 9.3% |
| CHI 1-1 NYR | 7.7% |
| CHI 3-1 NYR | 7.6% |
Chicago Fire vs. NY Red Bulls game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between Chicago and NY Red Bulls in MLS at Soldier Field is scheduled to commence at 2:30 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Fire vs. NY Red Bulls
- Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Time: 2:30 PM ET/11:30AM PT
- Venue: Soldier Field
World Cup 2026 watch: Brian Gutiérrez (USA)
Chicago attacking midfielder Brian Gutiérrez is firmly on the radar for USMNT supporters this season as excitement builds in the lead up to the FIFA World Cup 2026—a tournament sparking heavy demand for World Cup predictions and early talk about who will win the World Cup. With the United States placed alongside Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye in Group D next year, Gutiérrez' club form will be tracked closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Chicago has a 63.6% win probability on Saturday, NY Red Bulls have an 18.0% win probability, and there is an 18.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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