NY Red Bulls vs. Chicago Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for NY Red Bulls vs. Chicago at the MLS on May 9, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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NY Red Bulls
3
1
May 9, 6:30PM Soldier Field
Chicago
May 9, 6:30PM Soldier Field
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChicagoCHI
Score Summary
NY Red BullsNY
D. Nealis (o.g.) (87')
Soccer ball icon
J. Ruvalcaba (45')
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C. Cowell (49')
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E. M. Choupo-Moting (pen.) (81')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CHI
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
NY
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
O. Valencia (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
87'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by D. Nealis (o.g.)
3-1
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: D. Borso replaces M. Haile-Selassie
82'
Yellow Card
M. Haile-Selassie (Chicago Fire) cautioned
82'
Yellow Card
J. Ruvalcaba (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
81'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by E. M. Choupo-Moting (pen.)
3-0
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: S. Oregel replaces A. Saletros
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Shokalook replaces J. Dean
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Pineda replaces D. D'Avilla
80'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: J. Che replaces R. Voloder
73'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: R. Mosquera replaces C. Cowell
73'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: O. Valencia replaces M. Dos Santos
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: P. Dithejane replaces J. Bamba
61'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: G. Berggren replaces E. Forsberg
49'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by C. Cowell, assisted by R. Donkor
2-0
46'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: E. M. Choupo-Moting replaces J. Hall
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by J. Ruvalcaba, assisted by E. Forsberg
1-0
18'
Yellow Card
R. Voloder (New York Red Bulls) cautioned

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NY Red Bulls vs. Chicago: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' NY Red Bulls vs. Chicago prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: NY Red Bulls vs. Chicago
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Soldier Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY Red Bulls +500, Chicago -200, draw +400
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-300/+240)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • NY Red Bulls: 18.0%
  • Chicago: 63.6%
  • Draw: 18.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is NY Red Bulls 1-2 Chicago, with a probability of 9%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

NY Red Bulls is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 18.0% probability, while Chicago sits at 63.6%, with the draw at 18.4%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' NY Red Bulls vs. Chicago prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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