Cubs vs. Orioles prediction: Baltimore favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [7/8/2026]
Get Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles predictions for MLB Wednesday.

The Baltimore Orioles will square off with the Chicago Cubs, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Wednesday, starting at 6:35 PM ET.
The Orioles will start Dean Kremer (1-1, 3.18 ERA), up against Colin Rea (6-5, 4.74 ERA) for the Cubs.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Orioles a slight edge with a 51.1% win probability over the Cubs.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's Cubs vs. Orioles matchup, including best bets and picks.
Cubs vs. Orioles prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model gives the Orioles a 51.1% chance of beating the Cubs.
According to our model, the Cubs (+1.5) have a 63.9% chance of covering the run line, while the 10-run over/under has a 51.3% chance of going over,.
Cubs vs. Orioles odds [7/8/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cubs | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-176) | -1.5 (+157) |
| Moneyline | +110 | -125 |
| Total | o10 (-102) | u10 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cubs vs. Orioles picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Cubs +1.5 | -176 |
| Moneyline | Cubs | +110 |
| Total | Over 10 | -102 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 10 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cubs vs. Orioles game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Orioles and Cubs at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled to commence at 6:35 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles
- Date: Wednesday, July 8, 2026
- Time: 6:35 PM ET/3:35PM PT
- Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Conclusion
We predict the Orioles, with a 51.1% win probability, will likely beat the Cubs in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.



