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Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [12/16/2025]
Get Chicago Blackhawks vs Toronto Maple Leafs predictions for NHL Tuesday.

The Toronto Maple Leafs will take on the Chicago Blackhawks in NHL action at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of the Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Hawks vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL game between the Blackhawks and Maple Leafs 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Maple Leafs a 64% chance of beating the Blackhawks.
According to our model, the Blackhawks (+1.5) have a 59% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 55% chance of going over.
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Blackhawks | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-135) | -1.5 (+124) |
| Moneyline | +185 | -215 |
| Total | o5.5 (-118) | u5.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Blackhawks +1.5 | -135 |
| Moneyline | Blackhawks | +185 |
| Total | Over 5.5 | -118 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Blackhawks to win.
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs player props
Who will score a goal in Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs?
According to our model, Auston Matthews is most likely to score an anytime goal in Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs.
Our projections give Matthews a 45.5% chance of scoring a goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the star is a 9.2% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Chicago Blackhawks
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 34.7% |
| Frank Nazar | 25.9% |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 23.7% |
| Ryan Donato | 23.7% |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 21.6% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 45.5% |
| William Nylander | 38.0% |
| John Tavares | 37.1% |
| Matthew Knies | 29.1% |
| Bobby McMann | 20.3% |
First goal scorer predictions
Chicago Blackhawks
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 6.9% |
| Frank Nazar | 4.8% |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 4.5% |
| Ryan Donato | 4.1% |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 4.0% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 9.2% |
| William Nylander | 8.3% |
| John Tavares | 6.7% |
| Matthew Knies | 5.2% |
| Bobby McMann | 3.6% |
Hawks vs. Maple Leafs game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's game between the Maple Leafs and Blackhawks at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Blackhawks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date: Tuesday, December 16, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Blackhawks on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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