...
...
Read Article
- More Betting
Bears vs. Commanders prediction: Why Washington is favored to win MNF Week 6, 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders predictions for NFL Monday.
The Washington Commanders and Chicago Bears will lock horns in Week 6 of the NFL season at Northwest Stadium on Monday, starting at 8:15PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Commanders as the most likely winner of today's game.
This gameday Bears vs. Commanders betting preview builds on my Bears vs. Commanders prediction that was released earlier in the week.
For further insights into today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Bears vs. Commanders predictions page.
Bears vs. Commanders predictions
Since our Bears-Commanders predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NFL game between the Bears and Commanders 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Commanders a 69% chance of beating the Bears in Week 6 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Commanders winning 27-22.
According to our model, the Commanders (-5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 49.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 6 straight up picks.
Bears vs. Commanders odds
We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bears | Commanders |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5 (-110) | -5 (-120) |
| Moneyline | +220 | -250 |
| Total | o49.5 (-102) | u49.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Boost your NFL betting by exploring the latest NFL betting promos, sourced from top sportsbooks and DFS operators.
Bears vs. Commanders picks and best bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Bears vs. Commanders matchup is on the spread.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks and NFL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Bears vs. Commanders TD scorers
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Bears vs. Commanders?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Washington's Jacory Croskey-Merritt is most likely to score the first touchdown in Bears vs. Commanders.
Our projections give Croskey-Merritt an 11.9% chance of scoring the first TD at Northwest Stadium, while the Commanders running back is a 49.2% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
First touchdown scorer predictions
Chicago Bears
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Rome Odunze (WR) | 8.2% |
| D'Andre Swift (RB) | 7.2% |
| DJ Moore (WR) | 5.5% |
Washington Commanders
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB) | 11.9% |
| Deebo Samuel (WR) | 8.4% |
| Jayden Daniels (QB) | 7.4% |
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Chicago Bears
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Rome Odunze (WR) | 37.3% |
| D'Andre Swift (RB) | 33.7% |
| DJ Moore (WR) | 27.0% |
Washington Commanders
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB) | 49.2% |
| Deebo Samuel (WR) | 37.9% |
| Jayden Daniels (QB) | 34.3% |
Bears vs Commanders player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Bears and Commanders. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our NFL player projections page now to access player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 6 games.
Bears vs. Commanders quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bears' Caleb Williams is projected to throw for more yards than the Commanders' Jayden Daniels.
Bears rushing
D'Andre Swift, Caleb Williams and Kyle Monangai are projected to be the leading rushers for the Bears.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| D'Andre Swift | RB |
| Caleb Williams | QB |
| Kyle Monangai | RB |
Commanders rushing
Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Jayden Daniels and Chris Rodriguez are expected to lead the Commanders in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | RB |
| Jayden Daniels | QB |
| Chris Rodriguez | RB |
Bears receiving
Rome Odunze, DJ Moore, Olamide Zaccheaus, Luther Burden and Cole Kmet are projected to top the receiving yards for the Bears.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Rome Odunze | WR |
| DJ Moore | WR |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | WR |
| Luther Burden | WR |
| Cole Kmet | TE |
Commanders receiving
Deebo Samuel, Zach Ertz, Luke McCaffrey, Chris Moore and Jaylin Lane are projected to lead the Commanders in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Deebo Samuel | WR |
| Zach Ertz | TE |
| Luke McCaffrey | WR |
| Chris Moore | WR |
| Jaylin Lane | WR |
Bears vs. Commanders game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 6 game between the Commanders and Bears at Northwest Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:15PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Bears vs. Washington Commanders
- Date: Monday, October 13, 2025
- Time: 8:15PM ET/5:15PM PT
- Venue: Northwest Stadium
Dimers' comprehensive preview of Monday's Bears vs. Commanders matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Bears vs. Commanders picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
NFL Week 6 betting promos and codes
Make the most of Dimers' Bears vs. Commanders predictions by exploring the two exciting offers below.
DraftKings Sportsbook
Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook! Bet $5, get $200 in bonus bets instantly plus over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket.
Bet365 Sportsbook
Join Bet365 Sportsbook! Bet $5, get $200 in bonus bets win or lose.
Conclusion
We predict the Commanders, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat the Bears in Week 6 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bears vs. Commanders insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
More on NFL
Keep up with the latest NFL betting news and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest predictions for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Boost your NFL betting by exploring the latest NFL betting promos, sourced from top sportsbooks and DFS operators.
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
Advertiser disclosure