Bears vs. Packers prediction: Green Bay favored to win in NFL Week 14, 2025

The Green Bay Packers will face the Chicago Bears in NFL Week 14 action at Lambeau Field on Sunday, starting at 4:25PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Packers as the most likely winner of the Bears vs. Packers game.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Bears vs. Packers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Since our Bears-Packers predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Bears and Packers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Packers a 72% chance of defeating the Bears in Week 14 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Packers winning 25-19.

According to our model, the Bears (+6.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the 43.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of going over.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 14 straight up picks.

Bears vs. Packers odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Bears	Packers
Spread	+6.5 (-102)	-6.5 (-115)
Moneyline	+265	-300
Total	o43.5 (-115)	u43.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Bears vs. Packers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Bears +6.5	-102
Moneyline	Bears	+265
Total	Over 43.5	-115

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Bears +6.5 at the spread.

Bears vs. Packers TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Bears vs. Packers?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 14, Josh Jacobs is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Bears vs. Packers.

Our projections give Jacobs a 61.1% chance of scoring a TD at Lambeau Field, while the running back is a 16.0% chance of registering the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Chicago Bears

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Kyle Monangai (RB)	34.4%
D'Andre Swift (RB)	34.0%
DJ Moore (WR)	26.6%
Colston Loveland (TE)	20.9%
Luther Burden (WR)	20.6%

Green Bay Packers

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Josh Jacobs (RB)	61.1%
Christian Watson (WR)	33.8%
Romeo Doubs (WR)	29.0%
Jayden Reed (WR)	20.4%
Dontayvion Wicks (WR)	20.0%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Chicago Bears

Player	First TD Probability
Kyle Monangai (RB)	7.4%
D'Andre Swift (RB)	7.3%
DJ Moore (WR)	5.4%
Colston Loveland (TE)	4.1%
Luther Burden (WR)	4.0%

Green Bay Packers

Player	First TD Probability
Josh Jacobs (RB)	16.0%
Christian Watson (WR)	7.0%
Romeo Doubs (WR)	5.8%
Jayden Reed (WR)	3.9%
Dontayvion Wicks (WR)	3.8%

Bears vs Packers player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Bears and Packers. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 14 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bears' Caleb Williams is projected for 199 passing yards. The Packers' Jordan Love is expected to throw for 223 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Caleb Williams (CHI)	199
Jordan Love (GB)	223

Bears rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
D'Andre Swift	50
Kyle Monangai	48
Caleb Williams	24

Packers rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Josh Jacobs	79
Emanuel Wilson	23
Jordan Love	13

Bears receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Luther Burden	47
DJ Moore	45
Colston Loveland	38
Olamide Zaccheaus	27
Cole Kmet	19

Packers receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Christian Watson	57
Romeo Doubs	40
Jayden Reed	30
Dontayvion Wicks	28
Matthew Golden	20

Bears vs. Packers game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 14 matchup between the Packers and Bears at Lambeau Field is scheduled to commence at 4:25PM ET.

• Who: Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers
• Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025
• Time: 4:25PM ET/1:25PM PT
• Venue: Lambeau Field

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Conclusion

We predict the Packers, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Bears in Week 14 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bears vs. Packers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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