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Bears vs. Packers prediction: Green Bay favored to win in NFL Week 14, 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers predictions for NFL Sunday.
The Green Bay Packers will face the Chicago Bears in NFL Week 14 action at Lambeau Field on Sunday, starting at 4:25PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model projects the Packers as the most likely winner of the Bears vs. Packers game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Bears vs. Packers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Since our Bears-Packers predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Bears and Packers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Packers a 72% chance of defeating the Bears in Week 14 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Packers winning 24-18.
According to our model, the Bears (+6.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 44.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 14 straight up picks.
Bears vs. Packers odds
We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bears | Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6.5 (-105) | -6.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +250 | -300 |
| Total | o44.5 (-105) | u44.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bears vs. Packers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bears +6.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Bears | +250 |
| Total | Under 44.5 | -115 |
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Bears +6.5 at the spread.
Bears vs. Packers TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Bears vs. Packers?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Josh Jacobs is most likely to score an anytime TD in Bears vs. Packers.
Our projections give Jacobs a 61.3% chance of getting in for six at Lambeau Field, while the running back is a 15.9% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Chicago Bears
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Kyle Monangai (RB) | 34.4% |
| D'Andre Swift (RB) | 34.1% |
| DJ Moore (WR) | 27.0% |
| Colston Loveland (TE) | 21.0% |
| Luther Burden (WR) | 20.7% |
Green Bay Packers
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs (RB) | 61.3% |
| Christian Watson (WR) | 33.8% |
| Romeo Doubs (WR) | 29.0% |
| Jayden Reed (WR) | 20.7% |
| Dontayvion Wicks (WR) | 20.2% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
Chicago Bears
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Kyle Monangai (RB) | 7.4% |
| D'Andre Swift (RB) | 7.3% |
| DJ Moore (WR) | 5.5% |
| Colston Loveland (TE) | 4.1% |
| Luther Burden (WR) | 4.1% |
Green Bay Packers
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs (RB) | 15.9% |
| Christian Watson (WR) | 6.9% |
| Romeo Doubs (WR) | 5.7% |
| Jayden Reed (WR) | 3.9% |
| Dontayvion Wicks (WR) | 3.8% |
Bears vs Packers player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Bears and Packers. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 14 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bears' Caleb Williams is projected for 199 passing yards, while the Packers' Jordan Love is expected to throw for 223 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Caleb Williams (CHI) | 199 |
| Jordan Love (GB) | 223 |
Bears rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| D'Andre Swift | 51 |
| Kyle Monangai | 48 |
| Caleb Williams | 24 |
Packers rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | 79 |
| Emanuel Wilson | 22 |
| Jordan Love | 13 |
Bears receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Luther Burden | 46 |
| DJ Moore | 44 |
| Colston Loveland | 38 |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | 26 |
| Cole Kmet | 19 |
Packers receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Christian Watson | 58 |
| Romeo Doubs | 40 |
| Jayden Reed | 30 |
| Dontayvion Wicks | 29 |
| Matthew Golden | 22 |
Bears vs. Packers game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 14 matchup between the Packers and Bears at Lambeau Field is scheduled to begin at 4:25PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers
- Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025
- Time: 4:25PM ET/1:25PM PT
- Venue: Lambeau Field
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Conclusion
We predict the Packers, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Bears in Week 14 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bears vs. Packers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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