Bears vs. Bengals prediction: Why Chicago is favored to win in NFL Week 9, 2025

NFL Week 9 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM ET as the Chicago Bears lock horns with the Cincinnati Bengals at Paycor Stadium.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Bears as the most likely winner of the Bears vs. Bengals game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including touchdown scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.

Bears vs. Bengals prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Since our Bears-Bengals predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Bears and Bengals 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Bears a 59% chance of beating the Bengals in Week 9 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Bears winning 26-24.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Bears and Bengals each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 51.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 9 straight up picks.

Bears vs. Bengals odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Bears	Bengals
Spread	-3 (-105)	+3 (-110)
Moneyline	-155	+138
Total	o51.5 (-110)	u51.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Bears vs. Bengals picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Bears -3	-105
Moneyline	Bengals	+138
Total	Under 51.5	-108

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 51.5 total points.

Bears vs. Bengals TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Bears vs. Bengals?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Ja'Marr Chase is most likely to score an anytime TD in Bears vs. Bengals.

Our projections give Chase a 54.4% chance of getting in for six at Paycor Stadium, while the running back is an 11.4% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Chicago Bears

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Kyle Monangai (RB)	50.3%
Rome Odunze (WR)	41.6%
DJ Moore (WR)	25.9%
Olamide Zaccheaus (WR)	25.2%
Colston Loveland (TE)	17.7%

Cincinnati Bengals

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Ja'Marr Chase (WR)	54.4%
Tee Higgins (WR)	41.9%
Chase Brown (RB)	40.5%
Samaje Perine (RB)	27.9%
Noah Fant (TE)	25.1%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Chicago Bears

Player	First TD Probability
Kyle Monangai (RB)	12.7%
Rome Odunze (WR)	9.8%
DJ Moore (WR)	5.5%
Olamide Zaccheaus (WR)	5.3%
Colston Loveland (TE)	3.6%

Cincinnati Bengals

Player	First TD Probability
Ja'Marr Chase (WR)	11.4%
Tee Higgins (WR)	7.9%
Chase Brown (RB)	7.5%
Samaje Perine (RB)	4.7%
Noah Fant (TE)	4.2%

Bears vs Bengals player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Bears and Bengals. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 9 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bears' Caleb Williams is projected for 241 passing yards, while the Bengals' Joe Flacco is expected to throw for 244 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Caleb Williams (CHI)	241
Joe Flacco (CIN)	244

Bears rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Kyle Monangai	77
Caleb Williams	23
Travis Homer	16

Bengals rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Chase Brown	54
Samaje Perine	37
Tahj Brooks	7

Bears receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Rome Odunze	67
DJ Moore	54
Olamide Zaccheaus	38
Colston Loveland	28
Cole Kmet	22

Bengals receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Ja'Marr Chase	95
Tee Higgins	57
Noah Fant	27
Andrei Iosivas	27
Chase Brown	18

Bears vs. Bengals game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 9 action between the Bengals and Bears at Paycor Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Chicago Bears vs. Cincinnati Bengals
• Date: Sunday, November 2, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Paycor Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Bears, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Bengals in Week 9 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bears vs. Bengals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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