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Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest prediction, odds, Premier League picks [5/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest predictions for Premier League Monday.
Chelsea will face Nottingham Forest in Premier League action at Stamford Bridge on Monday, beginning at 10:00 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced Premier League model projects Chelsea as the most likely winner of the Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's Premier League match between Chelsea and Nottingham Forest, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 62.0% chance of Chelsea winning, a 17.6% chance for Nottingham Forest, and a 20.4% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 60% chance of going over, according to our model.
Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Chelsea | Nottingham Forest | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -140 | +400 | +310 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -150 | +120 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chelsea | -140 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -150 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Chelsea to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-1 Chelsea win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| CHE 2-1 NFO | 9.9% |
| CHE 2-0 NFO | 9.7% |
| CHE 1-1 NFO | 9.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.1% chance of both Chelsea and Nottingham Forest finding the net and a 43.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest game-day updates and essential details
Monday's Premier League matchup between Chelsea and Nottingham Forest at Stamford Bridge is scheduled to commence in the USA at 10:00 AM ET.
- Who: Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest
- Date: Monday, May 4, 2026
- Time: 10:00 AM ET/7:00AM PT
- Venue: Stamford Bridge
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Chelsea has a 62.0% win probability on Monday, Nottingham Forest has a 17.6% win probability, and there is a 20.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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