Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest Premier League match on May 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Nottingham Forest
3
1
Stamford Bridge
Chelsea
Stamford Bridge
ChelseaCFC
Score Summary
Nottingham ForestNOF
Joao Pedro (90')
Soccer ball icon
T. Awoniyi (2')
Soccer ball icon
Igor Jesus (pen.) (15')
Soccer ball icon
T. Awoniyi (52')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Chelsea
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Nottingham Forest
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chelsea by Joao Pedro, assisted by M. Cucurella
    3-1
  2. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nottingham: O. Hutchinson replaces D. Bakwa
  3. 78'
    Yellow Card
    M. Caicedo (Chelsea) cautioned
  4. 78'
    Yellow Card
    L. Delap (Chelsea) cautioned
  5. 73'
    VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
  6. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nottingham: C. Wood replaces M. Gibbs-White
  7. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chelsea: F. Jorgensen replaces R. Sanchez
  8. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chelsea: Andrey Santos replaces R. Lavia
  9. 52'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Nottingham by T. Awoniyi, assisted by M. Gibbs-White
    3-0
  10. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chelsea: L. Colwill replaces T. Adarabioyo
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nottingham: N. Milenkovic replaces Cunha
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nottingham: E. Anderson replaces N. Dominguez
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nottingham: M. Gibbs-White replaces Igor Jesus
  14. 45'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nottingham: N. Williams replaces Z. Abbott
  15. 45'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chelsea: L. Delap replaces J. Derry
  16. 45'
    Penalty missed by C. Palmer for Chelsea
  17. 15'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Nottingham by Igor Jesus (pen.)
    2-0
  18. 14'
    Yellow Card
    M. Gusto (Chelsea) cautioned
  19. 10'
    Yellow Card
    Morato (Nottingham) cautioned
  20. 2'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Nottingham by T. Awoniyi, assisted by D. Bakwa
    1-0

Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest
  • Date: Monday, May 4, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chelsea -220, Nottingham Forest +700, draw +400
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-163/+130)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Chelsea: 66.2%
  • Nottingham Forest: 14.7%
  • Draw: 19.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Chelsea 2-0 Nottingham Forest (10.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest? Prediction & correct score

Chelsea is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 66.2%.

The most likely correct score is Chelsea 2-0 Nottingham Forest.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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