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Hornets vs. Pacers prediction: Why Charlotte is favored to win Thursday's NBA matchup [2/26/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Charlotte Hornets vs Indiana Pacers predictions for NBA Thursday.
The Indiana Pacers will face the favored Charlotte Hornets in NBA action at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Thursday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Hornets as the most likely winner of the Hornets vs. Pacers game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pacers lineup will feature stars like Andrew Nembhard, Jarace Walker and Quenton Jackson, while the Hornets will rely on Brandon Miller, LaMelo Ball and Kon Knueppel.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Hornets vs. Pacers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NBA matchup between the Hornets and Pacers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Hornets an 81% chance of beating the Pacers. Our predicted final score has the Hornets winning 120-109.
According to our model, the Pacers (+12.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the 229.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Hornets vs. Pacers odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Hornets | Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -12.5 (-110) | +12.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | -650 | +500 |
| Total | o229.5 (-108) | u229.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Hornets vs. Pacers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pacers +12.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Pacers | +500 |
| Total | Over 229.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Pacers +12.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Hornets vs. Pacers player props
NBA player props are a common way to wager on the Hornets vs. Pacers game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Brandon Miller is expected to lead the Hornets with 22 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists, while Andrew Nembhard is projected to have 16 points, 2 rebounds and 6 assists for the Pacers.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Hornets prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Hornets are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Miller | 22 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 39 |
| LaMelo Ball | 21 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 45 |
| Kon Knueppel | 20 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 37 |
| Miles Bridges | 17 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 33 |
| Coby White | 13 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 23 |
Pacers prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pacers:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard | 16 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 32 |
| Jarace Walker | 15 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 33 |
| Quenton Jackson | 11 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 21 |
| Jay Huff | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
| Obi Toppin | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19 |
Hornets vs. Pacers game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's matchup between the Pacers and Hornets at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Charlotte Hornets vs. Indiana Pacers
- Date: Thursday, February 26, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Conclusion
We predict the Hornets, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat the Pacers on Thursday, with LaMelo Ball projected for a game-high 45 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Hornets vs. Pacers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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