May 17, 2026
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Read Article CF Montreal vs. Chicago Fire prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/16/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire predictions for MLS Saturday.
Montreal and Chicago will lock horns in MLS action at Saputo Stadium on Saturday, with kickoff at 4:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLS model projects Montreal as the most likely winner of the Montreal vs. Chicago.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
CF Montreal vs. Chicago Fire prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between Montreal and Chicago, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 38.0% chance of Montreal winning, a 37.8% chance for Chicago, and a 24.2% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 58% chance of going over, according to our model.
CF Montreal vs. Chicago Fire odds
We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Montreal | Chicago | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +190 | +130 | +260 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -165 | +110 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
CF Montreal vs. Chicago Fire picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Montreal | +190 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -165 |
According to our best MLS bets, the top play to make on this game is Montreal to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
CF Montreal vs. Chicago Fire: Correct score predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| MTL 1-1 CHI | 11.1% |
| MTL 1-2 CHI | 8.4% |
| MTL 2-1 CHI | 8.4% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
CF Montreal vs. Chicago Fire game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between Montreal and Chicago in MLS at Saputo Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:30 PM ET.
- Who: CF Montreal vs. Chicago Fire
- Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
- Time: 4:30 PM ET/1:30PM PT
- Venue: Saputo Stadium
World Cup 2026 watch: Caden Clark (USA)
Montreal attacking midfielder Caden Clark is a key name to follow for USMNT fans this season as excitement ramps up in the lead up to the FIFA World Cup 2026—an event already driving heavy demand for World Cup news and early discussions about who will win the World Cup. With the United States drawn against Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye in Group D next year, Clark's club form will be monitored closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Montreal has a 38.0% win probability on Saturday, Chicago has a 37.8% win probability, and there is a 24.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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