Chicago vs. Montreal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Chicago vs. Montreal in the World Cup on May 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Chicago
2
0
May 16, 4:30 PM ET Saputo Stadium
Montreal
May 16, 4:30 PM ET Saputo Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
MontrealMTL
Score Summary
ChicagoCHI
P. Zinckernagel (14')
Soccer ball icon
H. Cuypers (67')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MTL
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
CHI
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Yellow Card
P. Dithejane (Chicago Fire) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: G. Synchuk replaces L. Petrasso
82'
Yellow Card
B. Vera (CF Montreal) cautioned
73'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: D. Rios replaces W. Carmona
71'
Yellow Card
P. Owusu (CF Montreal) cautioned
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: P. Dithejane replaces M. Haile-Selassie
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: C. Mueller replaces P. Zinckernagel
67'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by H. Cuypers, assisted by P. Zinckernagel
2-0
62'
Yellow Card
B. Craig (CF Montreal) cautioned
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: A. Gutman replaces V. Radojevic
57'
Yellow Card
M. Mbokazi (Chicago Fire) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: N. Streit replaces V. Loturi
46'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: B. Craig replaces S. Piette
36'
Yellow Card
S. Piette (CF Montreal) cautioned
14'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by P. Zinckernagel
1-0
6'
Yellow Card
V. Radojevic (Chicago Fire) cautioned

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Chicago vs. Montreal: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' Chicago vs. Montreal prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: Chicago vs. Montreal
  • Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
  • Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Saputo Stadium
  • Tournament: 2026 FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chicago +130, Montreal +190, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+120)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Chicago: 37.8%
  • Montreal: 38.0%
  • Draw: 24.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' World Cup data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Chicago 1-1 Montreal (11.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Double chance probabilities
  • BTTS probabilities
  • Win to nil probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities
  • Anytime goalscorer probabilities
  • First goalscorer probabilities
  • 2+ and 3+ goals probabilities
  • Shots and shots on target projections

Unlock today's best bets for this match with a free 3-day trial—cancel anytime.

Why trust Dimers' World Cup predictions?

The Dimers betting model has already uncovered standout betting opportunities throughout the World Cup, including:

These are just a few examples of how the Dimers model has identified betting value throughout the tournament.

Read how the Dimers Pro model nailed five bold Round 1 bets, including full pre-match reasoning and breakdowns.

Explore all of our 2026 World Cup Predictions to see today's model projections and betting insights across every match.

Who will win Chicago vs. Montreal? Prediction & correct score

Montreal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 38.0%.

The most likely correct score is Chicago 1-1 Montreal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Chicago vs. Montreal, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.