Hurricanes vs. Capitals prediction: Why Washington is favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [12/11/2025]

The Washington Capitals will take on the Carolina Hurricanes, in what is expected to be a close NHL game, at Capital One Arena on Thursday, commencing at 7:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Capitals a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Hurricanes.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's Hurricanes vs. Capitals matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Canes vs. Caps prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NHL game between the Hurricanes and Capitals 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Capitals a 51% chance of defeating the Hurricanes.

According to our model, the Capitals (+1.5) have a 71% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Hurricanes vs. Capitals odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Hurricanes	Capitals
Puck Line	-1.5 (+215)	+1.5 (-250)
Moneyline	-115	-104
Total	o6 (-105)	u6 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Hurricanes vs. Capitals picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Capitals +1.5	-250
Moneyline	Capitals	-104
Total	Over 6	-105

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Capitals to win.

Hurricanes vs. Capitals player props

Who will score a goal in Hurricanes vs. Capitals?

According to our model, Alex Ovechkin is most likely to score an anytime goal in Hurricanes vs. Capitals.

Our projections give Ovechkin a 34.9% chance of scoring a goal at Capital One Arena, while the star is a 6.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Carolina Hurricanes

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Seth Jarvis	31.0%
Sebastian Aho	25.9%
Nikolaj Ehlers	23.9%
Andrei Svechnikov	23.7%
Jackson Blake	22.0%

Washington Capitals

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Alex Ovechkin	34.9%
Tom Wilson	33.0%
Aliaksei Protas	29.7%
Dylan Strome	27.7%
Connor McMichael	23.2%

First goal scorer predictions

Carolina Hurricanes

Player	First Goal Probability
Seth Jarvis	5.7%
Nikolaj Ehlers	5.0%
Sebastian Aho	4.9%
Andrei Svechnikov	4.0%
Jackson Blake	3.7%

Washington Capitals

Player	First Goal Probability
Tom Wilson	7.1%
Alex Ovechkin	6.8%
Dylan Strome	6.1%
Aliaksei Protas	5.5%
Jakob Chychrun	4.4%

Canes vs. Caps game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's matchup between the Capitals and Hurricanes at Capital One Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Carolina Hurricanes vs. Washington Capitals
• Date: Thursday, December 11, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Capital One Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Capitals, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Hurricanes on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Hurricanes vs. Capitals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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