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Hurricanes vs. Capitals prediction: Why Washington is favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [12/11/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Carolina Hurricanes vs Washington Capitals predictions for NHL Thursday.
The Washington Capitals and Carolina Hurricanes will lock horns in the NHL at Capital One Arena on Thursday, with puck drop at 7:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Capitals a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Hurricanes.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's Hurricanes vs. Capitals matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Canes vs. Caps prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NHL matchup between the Hurricanes and Capitals 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Capitals a 51% chance of defeating the Hurricanes.
According to our model, the Capitals (+1.5) have a 72% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Hurricanes vs. Capitals odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Hurricanes | Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+225) | +1.5 (-265) |
| Moneyline | -114 | -105 |
| Total | o6 (-118) | u6 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Hurricanes vs. Capitals picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Capitals +1.5 | -265 |
| Moneyline | Capitals | -105 |
| Total | Under 6 | -102 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6 total goals.
Hurricanes vs. Capitals player props
Who will score a goal in Hurricanes vs. Capitals?
According to our model, Alex Ovechkin is most likely to score an anytime goal in Hurricanes vs. Capitals.
Our projections give Ovechkin a 37.5% chance of scoring a goal at Capital One Arena, while the star is a 7.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Carolina Hurricanes
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Seth Jarvis | 31.0% |
| Sebastian Aho | 24.9% |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 24.5% |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | 23.5% |
| Jackson Blake | 21.5% |
Washington Capitals
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 37.5% |
| Tom Wilson | 33.0% |
| Aliaksei Protas | 30.7% |
| Dylan Strome | 28.0% |
| Jakob Chychrun | 24.1% |
First goal scorer predictions
Carolina Hurricanes
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Seth Jarvis | 6.2% |
| Sebastian Aho | 5.0% |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | 4.9% |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 4.7% |
| Jackson Blake | 3.7% |
Washington Capitals
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 7.4% |
| Tom Wilson | 6.8% |
| Dylan Strome | 5.5% |
| Aliaksei Protas | 5.5% |
| Connor McMichael | 4.3% |
Canes vs. Caps game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's game between the Capitals and Hurricanes at Capital One Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Carolina Hurricanes vs. Washington Capitals
- Date: Thursday, December 11, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Capitals, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Hurricanes on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Hurricanes vs. Capitals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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