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Flames vs. Penguins prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [1/10/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Calgary Flames vs Pittsburgh Penguins predictions for NHL Saturday.
NHL action continues on Saturday at 3:30 PM ET as the Calgary Flames lock horns with the Pittsburgh Penguins at PPG Paints Arena.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Penguins as the most likely winner of the Flames vs. Penguins game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Flames vs. Penguins prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Flames and Penguins 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Penguins a 57% chance of beating the Flames.
According to our model, the Flames (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 53% chance of going over.
Flames vs. Penguins odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Flames | Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-190) | -1.5 (+160) |
| Moneyline | +126 | -148 |
| Total | o6 (-118) | u6 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Flames vs. Penguins picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Flames +1.5 | -190 |
| Moneyline | Flames | +126 |
| Total | Over 6 | -118 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Flames +1.5 at the spread.
Flames vs. Penguins player props
Who will score a goal in Flames vs. Penguins?
According to our model, Sidney Crosby is most likely to score an anytime goal in Flames vs. Penguins.
Our projections give Crosby a 35.0% chance of scoring a goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the star is a 7.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Calgary Flames
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nazem Kadri | 27.0% |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 25.2% |
| Matthew Coronato | 23.2% |
| Blake Coleman | 21.2% |
| Jonathan Huberdeau | 20.4% |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 35.0% |
| Rickard Rakell | 30.9% |
| Evgeni Malkin | 25.7% |
| Thomas Novak | 22.8% |
| Justin Brazeau | 20.1% |
First goal scorer predictions
Calgary Flames
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nazem Kadri | 5.1% |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 5.0% |
| Matthew Coronato | 4.0% |
| Blake Coleman | 4.0% |
| Mikael Backlund | 3.7% |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 7.4% |
| Rickard Rakell | 5.9% |
| Evgeni Malkin | 4.9% |
| Thomas Novak | 4.0% |
| Kevin Hayes | 3.5% |
Flames vs. Penguins game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between the Penguins and Flames at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to commence at 3:30 PM ET.
- Who: Calgary Flames vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
- Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026
- Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Penguins, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Flames on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Flames vs. Penguins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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