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Flames vs. Oilers prediction: Why Edmonton is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [12/23/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Calgary Flames vs Edmonton Oilers predictions for NHL Tuesday.
The Edmonton Oilers will face the Calgary Flames in NHL action at Rogers Place on Tuesday, beginning at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Oilers as the most likely winner of the Flames vs. Oilers game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Flames vs. Oilers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Flames and Oilers 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Oilers a 58% chance of defeating the Flames.
According to our model, the Flames (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Flames vs. Oilers odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Flames | Oilers |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-185) | -1.5 (+156) |
| Moneyline | +125 | -144 |
| Total | o6.5 (-118) | u6.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Flames vs. Oilers picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Flames +1.5 | -185 |
| Moneyline | Oilers | -144 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | +100 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
Flames vs. Oilers player props
Who will score a goal in Flames vs. Oilers?
According to our model, Leon Draisaitl is most likely to score an anytime goal in Flames vs. Oilers.
Our projections give Draisaitl a 43.4% chance of scoring a goal at Rogers Place, while the star is a 9.3% chance of registering the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Calgary Flames
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nazem Kadri | 27.5% |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 27.2% |
| Matthew Coronato | 22.8% |
| Jonathan Huberdeau | 21.3% |
| Morgan Frost | 19.8% |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 43.4% |
| Connor McDavid | 41.6% |
| Zach Hyman | 38.1% |
| Jack Roslovic | 24.9% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 23.3% |
First goal scorer predictions
Calgary Flames
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nazem Kadri | 6.0% |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 5.1% |
| Matthew Coronato | 4.3% |
| Morgan Frost | 3.6% |
| Jonathan Huberdeau | 3.4% |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 9.3% |
| Connor McDavid | 8.6% |
| Zach Hyman | 7.2% |
| Jack Roslovic | 4.6% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 4.5% |
Flames vs. Oilers game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's action between the Oilers and Flames at Rogers Place is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Calgary Flames vs. Edmonton Oilers
- Date: Tuesday, December 23, 2025
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Rogers Place
Conclusion
We predict the Oilers, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Flames on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Flames vs. Oilers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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