Cal Poly vs. UC San Diego prediction: UC San Diego favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/11/2026]

Men's college basketball action continues on Wednesday at 9:00 PM ET as Cal Poly takes on UC San Diego in men's college basketball action at Lee's Family Forum.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts UC San Diego as the most likely winner of the Cal Poly vs. UC San Diego game.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Cal Poly vs. UC San Diego prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NCAA basketball game between Cal Poly and UC San Diego 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives UC San Diego a 69% chance of defeating Cal Poly. Our predicted final score has UC San Diego winning 83-77.

According to our model, UC San Diego (-4.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 162.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.

Cal Poly vs. UC San Diego odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Cal Poly	UC San Diego
Spread	+4.5 (-108)	-4.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+170	-200
Total	o162.5 (-112)	u162.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Cal Poly vs. UC San Diego picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	UC San Diego -4.5	-110
Moneyline	UC San Diego	-200
Total	Under 162.5	-105

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is UC San Diego -4.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Cal Poly vs. UC San Diego game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's men's college basketball game between UC San Diego and Cal Poly at Lee's Family Forum is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Cal Poly vs. UC San Diego
• Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Lee's Family Forum

College basketball betting promos and codes

Make the most of Dimers' Cal Poly vs. UC San Diego predictions by exploring the below offers from Bet365 and BetMGM.

Bet365 Sportsbook

Join Bet365 Sportsbook! Bet $5, get $150 in bonus bets win or lose with code "DIMERS".

BetMGM

Sign up to BetMGM with code "DIMERS" now to unlock their 'Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win' offer.

Conclusion

We predict UC San Diego, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat Cal Poly on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cal Poly vs. UC San Diego insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.