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Cal Poly vs. UC San Diego prediction: UC San Diego favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Cal Poly vs UC San Diego predictions for college basketball Saturday.
UC San Diego and Cal Poly will meet in men's college basketball action at LionTree Arena on Saturday, with tipoff at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects UC San Diego as the most likely winner of the Cal Poly vs. UC San Diego game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Cal Poly vs. UC San Diego prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball game between Cal Poly and UC San Diego 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives UC San Diego a 78% chance of defeating Cal Poly. Our predicted final score has UC San Diego winning 85-76.
According to our model, UC San Diego (-8.5) has a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the 163.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
Cal Poly vs. UC San Diego odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cal Poly | UC San Diego |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8.5 (-120) | -8.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +285 | -315 |
| Total | o163.5 (-110) | u163.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cal Poly vs. UC San Diego picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | UC San Diego -8.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | UC San Diego | -315 |
| Total | Under 163.5 | -110 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is UC San Diego -8.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cal Poly vs. UC San Diego game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball matchup between UC San Diego and Cal Poly at LionTree Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Cal Poly vs. UC San Diego
- Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: LionTree Arena
Conclusion
We predict UC San Diego, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat Cal Poly on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cal Poly vs. UC San Diego insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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