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Burnley vs. Bournemouth prediction, odds, Premier League picks [3/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Burnley vs Bournemouth predictions for Premier League Saturday.
Burnley and Bournemouth are scheduled to meet in the Premier League at Turf Moor on Saturday, with kickoff at 11:00 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced Premier League model projects Bournemouth as the most likely winner of the Burnley vs. Bournemouth game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Burnley vs. Bournemouth prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Premier League match between Burnley and Bournemouth 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model suggests a 24.6% chance of Burnley winning, a 52.0% chance for Bournemouth, and a 23.4% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 56% chance of going over, according to our model.
Burnley vs. Bournemouth odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Burnley | Bournemouth | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +310 | -115 | +295 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -138 | +116 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Burnley vs. Bournemouth picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Burnley | +310 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +116 |
According to our best Premier League bets, the top play to make on this game is Burnley to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Burnley vs. Bournemouth: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| BUR 1-1 BOU | 11% |
| BUR 1-2 BOU | 9.7% |
| BUR 0-1 BOU | 9.6% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.5% chance of both sides finding the net and a 43.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Burnley vs. Bournemouth game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Premier League action between Burnley and Bournemouth at Turf Moor is scheduled to begin in the United States at 11:00 AM ET.
- Who: Burnley vs. Bournemouth
- Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
- Time: 11:00 AM ET/8:00AM PT
- Venue: Turf Moor
World Cup 2026 watch: Tyler Adams (USA)
Bournemouth defensive midfielder Tyler Adams is one to watch for USMNT fans this year as anticipation builds in the lead up to the FIFA World Cup 2026—an event already sparking heavy demand for World Cup predictions and early debates about who will win the World Cup. With the United States set to face Australia, Paraguay, and one of Türkiye, Romania, Slovakia, or Kosovo in Group D next year, Adams' form will be monitored closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Burnley has a 24.6% win probability on Saturday, Bournemouth has a 52.0% win probability, and there is a 23.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Burnley vs. Bournemouth insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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