Burnley vs. Bournemouth Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Burnley vs. Bournemouth Premier League match on March 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Bournemouth
0
:
0
Turf Moor
Burnley
Turf Moor
BurnleyBUR
Score Summary
BournemouthAFC
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Burnley
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Bournemouth
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: A. Broja replaces Z. Flemming
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: L. Ugochukwu replaces J. Laurent
  3. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: E. Unal replaces Rayan
  4. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: D. Brooks replaces E. J. Kroupi
  5. 75'
    Yellow Card
    H. Mejbri (Burnley) cautioned
  6. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: Lucas Pires replaces Q. Hartman
  7. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: J. Worrall replaces M. Esteve
  8. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: M. Edwards replaces L. Foster
  9. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: A. Adli replaces R. Christie
  10. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: A. Jimenez replaces A. Smith

Burnley vs. Bournemouth: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Burnley vs. Bournemouth
  • Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Time: 11:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Turf Moor

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Burnley +320, Bournemouth -115, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-165/+140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Burnley: 24.6%
  • Bournemouth: 52.0%
  • Draw: 23.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Burnley 1-1 Bournemouth (11.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Burnley vs. Bournemouth? Prediction & correct score

Bournemouth is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.0%.

The most likely correct score is Burnley 1-1 Bournemouth.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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