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Sabres vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [10/25/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs predictions for NHL Saturday.
The Toronto Maple Leafs and Buffalo Sabres will lock horns in the NHL at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday, with puck drop at 5:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of the Sabres vs. Maple Leafs game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including goal scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.
Sabres vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Who will win, cover the puck line?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL game between the Sabres and Maple Leafs 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Maple Leafs a 57% chance of defeating the Sabres.
According to our model, the Sabres (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Sabres vs. Maple Leafs odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sabres | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-190) | -1.5 (+164) |
| Moneyline | +120 | -142 |
| Total | o6.5 (-110) | u6.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sabres vs. Maple Leafs picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Sabres +1.5 | -190 |
| Moneyline | Maple Leafs | -142 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -105 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
Sabres vs. Maple Leafs player props
Who will score a goal in Sabres vs. Maple Leafs?
According to our model, Auston Matthews is most likely to score an anytime goal in Sabres vs. Maple Leafs.
Our projections give Matthews a 47.0% chance of scoring a goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the star is a 10.3% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Buffalo Sabres
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tage Thompson | 38.6% |
| Alex Tuch | 32.4% |
| Zach Benson | 24.4% |
| Jason Zucker | 23.4% |
| Ryan McLeod | 21.8% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 47.0% |
| William Nylander | 37.5% |
| John Tavares | 36.0% |
| Matthew Knies | 32.4% |
| Bobby McMann | 21.7% |
First goal scorer predictions
Buffalo Sabres
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tage Thompson | 7.4% |
| Alex Tuch | 5.2% |
| Zach Benson | 4.4% |
| Jason Zucker | 4.2% |
| Ryan McLeod | 3.8% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 10.3% |
| William Nylander | 8.1% |
| John Tavares | 6.5% |
| Matthew Knies | 6.0% |
| Bobby McMann | 3.4% |
Sabres vs. Maple Leafs game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between the Maple Leafs and Sabres at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to begin at 5:00PM ET.
- Who: Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date: Saturday, October 25, 2025
- Time: 5:00PM ET/2:00PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
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Conclusion
We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Sabres on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sabres vs. Maple Leafs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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