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Bills vs. Panthers prediction: Why Buffalo is favored to win in NFL Week 8, 2025
Get Buffalo Bills vs Carolina Panthers predictions for NFL Sunday.

NFL Week 8 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM ET as the Buffalo Bills lock horns with the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Bills as the most likely winner of the Bills vs. Panthers game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including touchdown scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.
Bills vs. Panthers prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?
Since our Bills-Panthers predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Bills and Panthers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Bills a 73% chance of defeating the Panthers in Week 8 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Bills winning 26-20.
According to our model, the Panthers (+7) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 48.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 8 straight up picks.
Bills vs. Panthers odds
We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bills | Panthers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -7 (-120) | +7 (+100) |
| Moneyline | -395 | +315 |
| Total | o48.5 (-105) | u48.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bills vs. Panthers picks and best bet
Our predictions, matched with the listed odds, reveal the top betting picks for this game, detailed in Dimers' NFL best bets, crafted from expert modeling and analysis:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Panthers +7 | +100 |
| Moneyline | Panthers | +315 |
| Total | Under 48.5 | -115 |
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Panthers +7 at the spread.
Bills vs. Panthers TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Bills vs. Panthers?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, James Cook is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Bills vs. Panthers.
Our projections give Cook a 56.7% chance of getting in for six at Bank of America Stadium, while the running back is a 13.0% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Buffalo Bills
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| James Cook (RB) | 56.7% |
| Josh Allen (QB) | 45.0% |
| Keon Coleman (WR) | 28.2% |
| Dalton Kincaid (TE) | 27.9% |
| Khalil Shakir (WR) | 27.3% |
Carolina Panthers
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Rico Dowdle (RB) | 33.4% |
| Tetairoa McMillan (WR) | 32.3% |
| Chuba Hubbard (RB) | 30.6% |
| Xavier Legette (WR) | 20.9% |
| Jalen Coker (WR) | 12.8% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
Buffalo Bills
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| James Cook (RB) | 13.0% |
| Josh Allen (QB) | 9.3% |
| Keon Coleman (WR) | 5.1% |
| Dalton Kincaid (TE) | 5.1% |
| Khalil Shakir (WR) | 5.0% |
Carolina Panthers
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Rico Dowdle (RB) | 7.6% |
| Tetairoa McMillan (WR) | 7.3% |
| Chuba Hubbard (RB) | 6.8% |
| Xavier Legette (WR) | 4.4% |
| Jalen Coker (WR) | 2.5% |
Bills vs Panthers player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Bills and Panthers. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 8 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bills' Josh Allen is projected for 238 passing yards, while the Panthers' Andy Dalton is expected to throw for 222 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Josh Allen (BUF) | 238 |
| Andy Dalton (CAR) | 222 |
Bills rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| James Cook | 76 |
| Josh Allen | 34 |
| Ray Davis | 19 |
Panthers rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Rico Dowdle | 56 |
| Chuba Hubbard | 44 |
| Andy Dalton | 7 |
Bills receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Khalil Shakir | 53 |
| Keon Coleman | 46 |
| Dalton Kincaid | 43 |
| Tyrell Shavers | 22 |
| James Cook | 18 |
Panthers receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Tetairoa McMillan | 62 |
| Xavier Legette | 39 |
| Jalen Coker | 30 |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders | 21 |
| Tommy Tremble | 16 |
Bills vs. Panthers game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 8 matchup between the Panthers and Bills at Bank of America Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Buffalo Bills vs. Carolina Panthers
- Date: Sunday, October 26, 2025
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Bank of America Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Bills, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat the Panthers in Week 8 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bills vs. Panthers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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