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Red Sox vs. Blue Jays prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [4/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays predictions for MLB Tuesday.
The Toronto Blue Jays will face the Boston Red Sox, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Rogers Centre on Tuesday, starting at 7:07 PM ET.
Trey Yesavage (0-0, 0.00 ERA) will get the ball for the Blue Jays, pitting him against Payton Tolle (0-0, 1.50 ERA) for the Red Sox.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Blue Jays a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Red Sox.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's Red Sox vs. Blue Jays matchup, including best bets and picks.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's MLB matchup between the Red Sox and Blue Jays, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Blue Jays a 53% chance of defeating the Red Sox.
According to our model, the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 54% chance of going over.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds [4/28/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Red Sox | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -102 | -115 |
| Total | o7.5 (-115) | u7.5 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Blue Jays | -115 |
| Total | Over 7.5 | -115 |
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's MLB matchup between the Blue Jays and Red Sox at Rogers Centre is scheduled to commence at 7:07 PM ET.
- Who: Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- Date: Tuesday, April 28, 2026
- Time: 7:07 PM ET/4:07PM PT
- Venue: Rogers Centre
Conclusion
We predict the Blue Jays, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Red Sox in Tuesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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