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Red Sox vs. Mets Prediction: Tight Battle Projected in Updated Analysis for Wednesday's MLB Game [9/4/2024]

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Boston Red Sox-New York Mets Predictions and Game Preview.
Citi Field sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Boston Red Sox and New York Mets this Wednesday.

The New York Mets will face the Boston Red Sox, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Citi Field on Wednesday, beginning at 7:10PM ET.

Tylor Megill (3-5, 4.82 ERA) will be on the bump for the Mets, pitting him against Tanner Houck (8-9, 3.12 ERA) for the Red Sox.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Mets as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Red Sox-Mets game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Mets' chance of winning at 53%, with the Red Sox at 47%."

Red Sox vs. Mets Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Red Sox at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 7:10PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Wednesday's Red Sox vs. Mets matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Mets vs. Red Sox picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Red Sox vs. Mets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLB game between the Red Sox and Mets 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Mets a 53% chance of beating the Red Sox.

According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has a 55% chance of going over.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:29PM, Sep 4
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Red Sox
Win %
45%
55%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Mets
Red Sox BOS
Win %
45%
55%
See Matchup
Mets NYM
Tanner Houck 8-9, 3.12 ERA
Tylor Megill 3-5, 4.82 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Red Sox vs. Mets Odds [9/4/2024]

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Red Sox Mets
Run Line -1.5 (+164) +1.5 (-190)
Moneyline +100 -115
Total o7.5 (-112) u7.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Red Sox vs. Mets Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Red Sox vs. Mets matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot: Free ⚾️ Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Mets, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Red Sox on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Red Sox vs. Mets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Keep up with the latest MLB news and our data-led MLB best bets and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the latest probabilities for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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