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Red Sox vs. Orioles prediction: Baltimore favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [4/26/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles predictions for MLB Sunday.
The Baltimore Orioles and Boston redsox are scheduled to meet in MLB action at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Sunday, starting at 1:35 PM ET.
Kyle Bradish (1-2, 3.96 ERA) will be on the bump for the Orioles, pitting him against Connelly Early (1-1, 2.88 ERA) for the Red Sox.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Orioles as the most likely winner of the Red Sox vs. Orioles game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Red Sox vs. Orioles prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Red Sox and Orioles, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Orioles a 56% chance of beating the Red Sox.
According to our model, the Red Sox (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
Red Sox vs. Orioles odds [4/26/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Red Sox | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-184) | -1.5 (+155) |
| Moneyline | +119 | -135 |
| Total | o7.5 (-105) | u7.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Red Sox vs. Orioles picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Orioles -1.5 | +155 |
| Moneyline | Red Sox | +119 |
| Total | Over 7.5 | -105 |
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Red Sox vs. Orioles game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB matchup between the Orioles and Red Sox at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled to begin at 1:35 PM ET.
- Who: Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
- Date: Sunday, April 26, 2026
- Time: 1:35 PM ET/10:35AM PT
- Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Conclusion
We predict the Orioles, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Red Sox in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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