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Celtics vs. Pacers prediction: Why Boston is favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [1/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers predictions for NBA Monday.
The Indiana Pacers will face the favored Boston Celtics in NBA action at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Monday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Celtics as the most likely winner of the Celtics vs. Pacers game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pacers lineup will feature stars like Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith and Andrew Nembhard, while the Celtics will be led by Derrick White, Payton Pritchard and Anfernee Simons.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Celtics vs. Pacers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NBA game between the Celtics and Pacers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Celtics a 66% chance of defeating the Pacers. Our predicted final score has the Celtics winning 115-111.
According to our model, the Pacers (+5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 227.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
Celtics vs. Pacers odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Celtics | Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -5 (-112) | +5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | -205 | +172 |
| Total | o227.5 (-110) | u227.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Celtics vs. Pacers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pacers +5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Celtics | -205 |
| Total | Under 227.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Under 227.5 total points.
Celtics vs. Pacers player props
NBA player props are an exciting way to wager on Monday's Boston vs. Indiana matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Derrick White is expected to lead the Celtics with 21 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists, while Pascal Siakam is projected to have 24 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Pacers.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Celtics prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Celtics are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick White | 21 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 45 |
| P. Pritchard | 20 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 39 |
| Anfernee Simons | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 26 |
| Sam Hauser | 11 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 22 |
| Luka Garza | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 |
Pacers prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pacers:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam | 24 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 42 |
| Aaron Nesmith | 16 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 31 |
| Andrew Nembhard | 16 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 33 |
| T.J. McConnell | 10 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 24 |
| Jay Huff | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 22 |
Celtics vs. Pacers game-day updates and essential details
Monday's action between the Pacers and Celtics at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Boston Celtics vs. Indiana Pacers
- Date: Monday, January 12, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Conclusion
We predict the Celtics, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Pacers on Monday, with Derrick White projected for a game-high 45 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Celtics vs. Pacers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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