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Celtics vs. Pacers prediction: Why Boston is favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [1/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers predictions for NBA Monday.
The Indiana Pacers and Boston Celtics will meet in NBA action at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Monday, with tipoff at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Celtics as the most likely winner of the Celtics vs. Pacers game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pacers lineup will feature players like Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith and Andrew Nembhard, while the Celtics will rely on Derrick White, Payton Pritchard and Anfernee Simons.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Celtics vs. Pacers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's NBA game between the Celtics and Pacers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Celtics a 67% chance of beating the Pacers. Our predicted final score has the Celtics winning 114-109.
According to our model, the Pacers (+5.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 225.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
Celtics vs. Pacers odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Celtics | Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -5.5 (-115) | +5.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -225 | +190 |
| Total | o225.5 (-110) | u225.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Celtics vs. Pacers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pacers +5.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Pacers | +190 |
| Total | Under 225.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Pacers +5.5 at the spread.
Celtics vs. Pacers player props
NBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on the Celtics vs. Pacers matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Derrick White is expected to lead the Celtics with 21 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists, while Pascal Siakam is projected to have 25 points, 7 rebounds and 4 assists for the Pacers.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Celtics prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Celtics are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick White | 21 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 44 |
| P. Pritchard | 18 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 37 |
| Anfernee Simons | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 26 |
| Neemias Queta | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 29 |
| Sam Hauser | 11 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22 |
Pacers prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pacers:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam | 25 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 43 |
| Aaron Nesmith | 16 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 31 |
| Andrew Nembhard | 16 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 34 |
| T.J. McConnell | 10 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 23 |
| Jay Huff | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 22 |
Celtics vs. Pacers game-day updates and essential details
Monday's game between the Pacers and Celtics at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Boston Celtics vs. Indiana Pacers
- Date: Monday, January 12, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Conclusion
We predict the Celtics, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Pacers on Monday, with Derrick White projected for a game-high 44 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Celtics vs. Pacers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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