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Bruins vs. Stars prediction: Dallas favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [1/20/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Boston Bruins vs Dallas Stars predictions for NHL Tuesday.
The Dallas Stars and Boston Bruins will lock horns in the NHL at American Airlines Center on Tuesday, with puck drop at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Stars as the most likely winner of the Bruins vs. Stars game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Bruins vs. Stars prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL game between the Bruins and Stars 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Stars a 57% chance of beating the Bruins.
According to our model, the Bruins (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 57% chance of going over.
Bruins vs. Stars odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bruins | Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-205) | -1.5 (+172) |
| Moneyline | +124 | -140 |
| Total | o5.5 (-135) | u5.5 (+114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bruins vs. Stars picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Bruins +1.5 | -205 |
| Moneyline | Bruins | +124 |
| Total | Over 5.5 | -135 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 5.5 total goals.
Bruins vs. Stars player props
Who will score a goal in Bruins vs. Stars?
According to our model, David Pastrnak is most likely to score an anytime goal in Bruins vs. Stars.
Our projections give Pastrnak a 39.5% chance of scoring a goal at American Airlines Center, while the star is an 8.3% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Boston Bruins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| David Pastrnak | 39.5% |
| Morgan Geekie | 27.0% |
| Alex Steeves | 21.5% |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 20.3% |
| Fraser Minten | 19.0% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Wyatt Johnston | 37.2% |
| Jason Robertson | 37.2% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 36.7% |
| Roope Hintz | 31.6% |
| Matt Duchene | 22.3% |
First goal scorer predictions
Boston Bruins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| David Pastrnak | 8.3% |
| Morgan Geekie | 5.0% |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 4.1% |
| Fraser Minten | 3.8% |
| Alex Steeves | 3.5% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jason Robertson | 7.7% |
| Wyatt Johnston | 7.6% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 7.2% |
| Roope Hintz | 6.6% |
| Matt Duchene | 4.2% |
Bruins vs. Stars game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's action between the Stars and Bruins at American Airlines Center is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Boston Bruins vs. Dallas Stars
- Date: Tuesday, January 20, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Conclusion
We predict the Stars, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Bruins on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bruins vs. Stars insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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