The MLB is in full swing and we are seeing the ball well after a nice couple of cashes to start the season.
It's Tuesday April 6, and, as always, we've simulated all of tonight's games 10,000 times each determining where the value lies for baseball bettors across the United States.
With MLB betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top plays for tonight's games.
Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on in every game via our MLB Bet Hub where we deliver you predictions and suggested bets, based on the edge we've identified against the sportsbooks' odds.
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Here is what the data is telling us for today's MLB games ⏬
BET: 🔥 Total runs OVER 7.5 FanDuel Sportsbook (-110)
📈 54.1% probability
Washington will finally get their season under way today when they clash with one of the World Series favorites in Atlanta. The Braves have had a horror start to the year themselves, going 0-3 and struggling to score runs. Our model thinks that's all about to change, though, with a relatively low total set by the sportsbooks.
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📈 59.4% probability
The Red Sox were clobbered by Tampa Bay yesterday, going down 11-2, but our projections have a reverse of fortunes for Boston with Martin Perez on the mound. It can so often be the way that a team that looks dominant one day can look bad the next.
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BET: 🔥 Giants at the moneyline with BetMGM (+180)
📈 2.3% edge on the sportsbooks
A small edge according to our projections, but given the injury last night to Tatis Jr of the Padres, is tonight a good opportunity for SF to strike? The Giants were able to capitalize last night, winning 3-2. +180 odds is too good to pass up given the circumstances. One to keep an eye on.
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🔥 Braves/Nationals over 7.5 runs
🔥 Red Sox +1.5
🔥 Giants ML
💰 Parlay @ FanDuel Sportsbook (+821)
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