Best bets today for all sports: Wednesday's picks include Aryna Sabalenka vs. Peyton Stearns tennis play [4/22/2026]

Tennis: Peyton Stearns +7.5 games (-144)

• Edge: 16.7%
• Probability: 75.7%
• Tennis matchup: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Peyton Stearns (8:10AM ET, Thursday)

Our model has identified value on Peyton Stearns +7.5 games at -144 odds in their matchup at WTA Madrid Open. A 75.7% probability produces an edge of 16.7%, making this the strongest play for today's sports action.

Tennis: Peyton Stearns vs. Aryna Sabalenka over 17.5 total games (+110)

• Edge: 12.9%
• Probability: 60.5%
• Tennis matchup: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Peyton Stearns (8:10AM ET, Thursday)

At WTA Madrid Open, Aryna Sabalenka vs. Peyton Stearns over 17.5 total games carries a 12.9% edge and a probability of 60.5% at +110 odds, according to our model.

Tennis: Julia Grabher +5.5 games (-102)

• Edge: 11.8%
• Probability: 62.3%
• Tennis Matchup: Leylah Fernandez vs. Julia Grabher (8:30AM ET, Thursday)

Julia Grabher +5.5 games vs. Leylah Fernandez at -102 odds shows a 11.8% edge, supported by a 62.3% probability in simulations of the WTA Madrid Open match.

AFL: Bulldogs +24.5 (-115)

• Edge: 7.6%
• Probability: 61%
• AFL Matchup: Swans vs. Bulldogs (5:30AM ET, Thursday)

A 7.6% edge and 61% probability make Bulldogs +24.5 vs. Swans at a value play in the Swans vs. Bulldogs matchup, per our model.

Liga MX: Necaxa ML (+400)

• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 27%
• Liga MX Matchup: Guadalajara vs. Necaxa (11:05PM ET, Wednesday)

Necaxa ML at +400 odds presents a 7.0% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 27%.

NHL: Stars vs. Wild over 5.5 goals (+110)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 54.3%
• NHL Matchup: Stars vs. Wild (9:30PM ET, Wednesday)

Our model finds value on over 5.5 goals in Stars vs. Wild at +110 odds, supported by an edge of 6.7%.

MLS: NY Red Bulls ML (-118)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 60.4%
• MLS Matchup: D.C. United vs. NY Red Bulls (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)

Our model has uncovered value on NY Red Bulls ML at -118 odds. A 60.4% probability produces a 6.3% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLS action.

Tennis: Julia Grabher vs. Leylah Fernandez over 19.5 total games (+100)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 56.2%
• Tennis Matchup: Leylah Fernandez vs. Julia Grabher (8:30AM ET, Thursday)

A 6.2% edge on a 56.2% probability makes over 19.5 total games at +100 odds a solid value play in this WTA Madrid Open matchup.

NHL: Penguins vs. Flyers over 5.5 goals (+102)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 55.3%
• NHL Matchup: Penguins vs. Flyers (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Our model projects value on over 5.5 goals at +102 odds. A 55.3% probability produces a 5.8% edge, making the over the favorable side in Saturday’s NHL matchup.

NHL: Ducks vs. Oilers over 6.5 goals (+120)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 51.2%
• NHL Matchup: Ducks vs. Oilers (10:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Ducks vs. Oilers over 6.5 goals at +120 odds shows a 51.2% probability and a 5.8% edge.

Best sports bets today summary: Wednesday, 4/22/2026

As of 10:32AM ET, here are our top bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Sabalenka vs. Stearns (Tennis)	Peyton Stearns +7.5 Games	-144 @ FanDuel	16.7%	75.7%
Sabalenka vs. Stearns (Tennis)	Over 17.5 Total Games	+110 @ DraftKings	12.9%	60.5%
Fernandez vs. Grabher (Tennis)	Julia Grabher +5.5 Games	-102 @ FanDuel	11.8%	62.3%
Swans vs. Bulldogs (AFL)	Bulldogs +24.5	-115 @ DraftKings	7.6%	61%
Guadalajara vs. Necaxa (Liga MX)	Necaxa ML	+400 @ DraftKings	7.0%	27%
Stars vs. Wild (NHL)	Over 5.5 Goals	+110 @ DraftKings	6.7%	54.3%
D.C. United vs. NY Red Bulls (MLS)	NY Red Bulls ML	-118 @ BetMGM	6.3%	60.4%
Fernandez vs. Grabher (Tennis)	Over 19.5 Total Games	+100 @ DraftKings	6.2%	56.2%
Penguins vs. Flyers (NHL)	Over 5.5 Goals	+102 @ DraftKings	5.8%	55.3%
Ducks vs. Oilers (NHL)	Over 6.5 Goals	+120 @ DraftKings	5.8%	51.2%

List of upcoming sports to bet on now [4/22/2026]

• Tennis: Simona Waltert vs. Oleksandra Oliynykova (10:35AM ET, Wednesday)
• Tennis: Sofia Kenin vs. Ashlyn Krueger (10:55AM ET, Wednesday)
• Tennis: Sinja Kraus vs. Karolina Pliskova (11:00AM ET, Wednesday)
• Tennis: Katie Boulter vs. Taylor Townsend (11:40AM ET, Wednesday)
• Tennis: Valentin Royer vs. Alejandro Tabilo (11:45AM ET, Wednesday)
• Tennis: Katerina Siniakova vs. Elvina Kalieva (11:45AM ET, Wednesday)
• Tennis: Katie Volynets vs. Caty McNally (12:05PM ET, Wednesday)
• Tennis: Jesper De Jong vs. Rafael Jodar (12:10PM ET, Wednesday)
• MLB: Cardinals vs. Marlins (12:10PM ET, Wednesday)
• La Liga: Atletico Madrid vs. Elche (1:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Conclusion

Our best bets are locked and loaded for April 22, 2026, featuring plays such as Peyton Stearns +7.5 games and over 17.5 total games also in the Aryna Sabalenka vs. Peyton Stearns matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.