Best bets today for all sports: Wednesday's picks include Mercury vs. Sparks WNBA play [7/22/2026]
Get the best bets for Wednesday, July 22, 2026.
Today’s best sports bets for July 22, 2026 are here, with Mercury vs. Sparks and Lynx vs. Storm in the WNBA among the top plays identified by our model across Wednesday’s action.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest odds to unearth real betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of best bets for today [7/22, updated 1:13AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 bets, ranked by edge for Wednesday, July 22, 2026.
WNBA: Mercury vs. Sparks Under 178.5 points (-104)
- Edge: 21.5%
- Probability: 72.4%
- WNBA matchup: Mercury vs. Sparks (3:00PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Under 178.5 points in Mercury vs. Sparks at -104 odds. A 72.4% probability produces an edge of 21.5%, making this the strongest play for today's sports action.
WNBA: Lynx vs. Storm Under 179.5 points (-114)
- Edge: 20.5%
- Probability: 73.7%
- WNBA matchup: Lynx vs. Storm (3:00PM ET)
Lynx vs. Storm under 179.5 points carries a 20.5% edge and a probability of 73.7% at -114 odds, according to our model.
WNBA: Sky vs. Liberty Under 179.5 points (-110)
- Edge: 16.0%
- Probability: 68.4%
- WNBA Matchup: Sky vs. Liberty (7:00PM ET)
Sky vs. Liberty Under 179.5 points at -110 odds shows a 16.0% edge, supported by a 68.4% probability in simulations.
WNBA: Wings vs. Fire under 174.5 points (-102)
- Edge: 14.3%
- Probability: 64.8%
- WNBA Matchup: Wings vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)
A 14.3% edge and 64.8% probability make Wings vs. Fire under 174.5 points a value play in the Wings vs. Fire matchup, per our model.
WNBA: Sun vs. Fever Under 179.5 points (-113)
- Edge: 13.6%
- Probability: 66.6%
- WNBA Matchup: Sun vs. Fever (8:00PM ET)
Sun vs. Fever Under 179.5 points at -113 odds presents a 13.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 66.6%.
MLS: Miami ML (+110)
- Edge: 10.3%
- Probability: 57.3%
- MLS Matchup: Chicago vs. Miami (7:30PM ET)
Our model finds value on Miami to win at +110 odds, supported by an edge of 10.3%.
MLB: Padres -1.5 (+165)
- Edge: 6.7%
- Probability: 44.4%
- MLB Matchup: Padres vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
Our model has uncovered value on Padres -1.5 at +165 odds. A 44.4% probability produces a 6.7% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.
MLB: Athletics vs. Diamondbacks Over 9.5 runs (+117)
- Edge: 6.2%
- Probability: 52.3%
- MLB Matchup: Athletics vs. Diamondbacks (3:40PM ET)
A 6.2% edge on a 52.3% probability makes Over 9.5 runs at +117 odds a solid value play in today's Athletics vs. Diamondbacks matchup.
WNBA: Storm +10.5 (-105)
- Edge: 6.2%
- Probability: 57.4%
- WNBA Matchup: Lynx vs. Storm (3:00PM ET)
Our model projects value on Storm +10.5 at -105 odds. A 57.4% probability produces a 6.2% edge, making Storm the favorable side in today's WNBA matchup.
MLS: Nashville ML (-190)
- Edge: 5.9%
- Probability: 71.4%
- MLS Matchup: Montreal vs. Nashville (8:30PM ET)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Nashville to defeat Montreal at -190 odds shows a 71.4% probability and a 5.9% edge.
Best sports bets today summary: Wednesday, 7/22/2026
As of 1:13AM ET, here are our top bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercury vs. Sparks (WNBA) | Under 178.5 points | -104 @ Novig | 21.5% | 72.4% |
| Lynx vs. Storm (WNBA) | Under 179.5 points | -114 @ FanDuel | 20.5% | 73.7% |
| Sky vs. Liberty (WNBA) | Under 179.5 Points | -110 @ BetMGM | 16.0% | 68.4% |
| Wings vs. Fire (WNBA) | Under 174.5 points | -102 @ Novig | 14.3% | 64.8% |
| Sun vs. Fever (WNBA) | Under 179.5 Points | -113 @ DraftKings | 13.6% | 66.6% |
| Chicago vs. Miami (MLS) | Miami ML | +110 @ Caesars | 10.3% | 57.3% |
| Padres vs. Braves (MLB) | Padres -1.5 | +165 @ BetMGM | 6.7% | 44.4% |
| Athletics vs. Diamondbacks (MLB) | Over 9.5 Runs | +117 @ Polymarket | 6.2% | 52.3% |
| Lynx vs. Storm (WNBA) | Storm +10.5 | -105 @ Caesars | 6.2% | 57.4% |
| Montreal vs. Nashville (MLS) | Nashville ML | -190 @ BetRivers | 5.9% | 71.4% |
List of upcoming matchups to bet on right now [7/22/2026]
- Tennis: Anhelina Kalinina vs. Maria Carle (4:00AM ET, Wednesday)
- Tennis: Maiar Sherif Ahmed Abdelaziz vs. Simona Waltert (5:00AM ET, Wednesday)
- Tennis: Daria Snigur vs. Ayla Aksu (5:00AM ET, Wednesday)
- Tennis: Valentin Vacherot vs. Quentin Halys (5:00AM ET, Wednesday)
- Tennis: Arthur Rinderknech vs. Sebastian Baez (5:00AM ET, Wednesday)
- Tennis: Paula Badosa vs. Katarzyna Kawa (6:10AM ET, Wednesday)
- Tennis: Yannick Hanfmann vs. Marco Trungelliti (6:10AM ET, Wednesday)
- Tennis: Mariano Navone vs. Jan-Lennard Struff (6:10AM ET, Wednesday)
- Tennis: Ignacio Buse vs. Kilian Feldbausch (6:10AM ET, Wednesday)
- Tennis: Sinja Kraus vs. Alina Charaeva (6:20AM ET, Wednesday)
Conclusion
Our best bets are locked and loaded for July 22, 2026, featuring plays such as under 178.5 points in the Mercury vs. Sparks matchup and under 179.5 points in the Lynx vs. Storm matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
